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Functional Rational Expectations Equilibria in Market Games

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Author Info
Shorish, Jamsheed (Department of Economics and Finance, Institute for Advanced Studies, Vienna, Austria)

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Abstract

The rational expectations equilibrium has been criticized as an equilibrium concept in market game environments. Such an equilibrium may not exist generically, or it may introduce unrealistic assumptions about an economic agent's knowledge or computational ability. We define a rational expectations equilibrium as a probability measure over uncertain states of nature which exploits all available information in a market game, and which exists for almost all economies. Furthermore, if retrading is allowed, it is possible for agents to compute such a 'functional rational expectations equilibrium' using straightforward numerical fixed point algorithms.

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File URL: http://www.ihs.ac.at/publications/eco/es-186.pdf
File Format: application/pdf
File Function: First version, 2006
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Institute for Advanced Studies in its series Economics Series with number 186.

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Length: 17 pages
Date of creation: Feb 2006
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Handle: RePEc:ihs:ihsesp:186

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Related research
Keywords: Market game; Rational expectations equilibrium; Bayesian updating; Learning; Computation;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing
D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search, Learning, and Information
C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods and Programming - - - Computational Techniques

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References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Martin Shubik & Nicolaas J. Vriend, 1999. "A Behavioral Approach to a Strategic Market Game," Research in Economics 99-01-003e, Santa Fe Institute. [Downloadable!]
  2. Dubey, Pradeep & Sahi, Siddharta & Shubik, Martin, 1993. "Repeated trade and the velocity of money," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 125-137. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Dubey, P. & Rogawski, J. D., 1990. "Inefficiency of smooth market mechanisms," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 285-304. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Ghosal, Sayantan & Morelli, Massimo, 2004. "Retrading in market games," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 151-181, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  5. Grossman, Sanford J & Stiglitz, Joseph E, 1980. "On the Impossibility of Informationally Efficient Markets," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(3), pages 393-408, June.
  6. Kelly, David L. & Shorish, Jamsheed, 2000. "Stability of Functional Rational Expectations Equilibria," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 95(2), pages 215-250, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Pradeep Dubey & John Geanakoplos & Martin Shubik, 1982. "Revelation of Information in Strategic Market Games: A Critique of Rational Expectations," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 634R, Cowles Foundation, Yale University, revised Nov 1985. [Downloadable!]
  8. Dubey, Pradeep, 1980. "Nash equilibria of market games: Finiteness and inefficiency," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 363-376, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. James Peck & Matthew O. Jackson, 1999. "Asymmetric information in a competitive market game: Reexamining the implications of rational expectations," Economic Theory, Springer, vol. 13(3), pages 603-628. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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