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Revelation of Information in Strategic Market Games: A Critique of Rational Expectations

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Author Info
Pradeep Dubey () (SUNY, Stony Brook)
John Geanakoplos () (Cowles Foundation, Yale University)
Martin Shubik () (Cowles Foundation, Yale University)

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Abstract

We criticize the R.E.E. approach to asymmetric information general equilibrium because it does not explain how information gets "into" the prices. This leads to well-known paradoxes. We suggest a multiperiod game instead, where the flow of information into and out of prices is explicitly modeled. In our game Nash equilibria (N.E.) (1) generalize Walrasian equilibria to asymmetric information; (2) (2) exist generically; (3) eliminate pure speculation; (4) allow prices to reveal information and markets to become more efficient over time; (5) are consistent with the weak efficient markets hypothesis that tracking past prices is not profitable; (6) yet always lead to higher utility for better informed agents (such as experts). Throughout the paper we use one concrete game. In the last section we prove that there are a broad range of games that would have the same properties.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Cowles Foundation, Yale University in its series Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers with number 634R.

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Length: 50 pages
Date of creation: 1982
Date of revision: Nov 1985
Publication status: Published in Journal of Mathematical Economics (1987), 16: 105-137
Handle: RePEc:cwl:cwldpp:634r

Note: CFP 686.
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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Pradeep Dubey & Martin Shubik, 1979. "A Strategic Market Game with Price and Quantity Strategies," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 521, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
  2. Blume, Lawrence E. & Easley, David, 1982. "Learning to be rational," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 340-351, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Pradeep Dubey & Mamoru Kaneko, 1982. "Information About Moves in Extensive Games: II," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 629, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Allen, Beth, 1982. "Approximate equilibria in microeconomic rational expectations models," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 244-260, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Matthew O. Jackson & James Peck, 1997. "Asymmetric Information in a Competitive Market Game: Reexamining the Implications of Rational Expectations," Microeconomics 9711004, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Shorish, Jamsheed, 2006. "Functional Rational Expectations Equilibria in Market Games," Economics Series 186, Institute for Advanced Studies. [Downloadable!]
  3. Bochet,Olivier, 2005. "Switching from Complete to Incomplete Information," Research Memoranda 035, Maastricht : METEOR, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Aditya Goenka, 2000. "Informed Trading and the "Leakage" of Information," Economics Discussion Papers 528, University of Essex, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Matthew O. Jackson & James Peck, 1993. "Costly Information Acquisition," Discussion Papers 1087, Northwestern University, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science. [Downloadable!]
  6. Pradeep Dubey & John Geanakoplos & Martin Shubik, 1988. "Default and Efficiency in a General Equilibrium Model with Incomplete Markets," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 879R, Cowles Foundation, Yale University, revised Feb 1989. [Downloadable!]
  7. Richard McLean & James Peck & Andrew Postlewaite, 2004. "On Price-Taking Behavior in Asymmetric Information Economies," PIER Working Paper Archive 04-040, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania. [Downloadable!]
  8. Martin Shubik, 1993. "The Theory of Money and Financial Institutions," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1056, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
  9. Beth Allen & James S. Jordan, 1998. "The existence of rational expectations equilibrium: a retrospective," Staff Report 252, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
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