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Rational Speculators and Exchange Rate Volatility

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Author Info
Carlson, J.A.
Olser, C.L.
Abstract

This paper suggests a structural connection between rational speculative activity and exchange rate volatility. We note that, when Friedman originally claimed that rational speculators must smooth exchange rate, he excluded interest rate differentials form his interpretation of speculator behavior. If interest rates matter, rational speculators could sometimes violate Friedman's description, and buy a currency whose value is relatively high or sell a currency whose value is low.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Purdue University, Krannert School of Management - Center for International Business Education and Research (CIBER) in its series Papers with number 97-005.

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Length: 30 pages
Date of creation: 1997
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:fth:purkib:97-005

Contact details of provider:
Postal: Purdue University, Center for International Business Education and Research, Krannert Graduate School of Management, 1310 Krannert Building West Lafayette, Indiana 47907-1310.
Web page: http://www.krannert.purdue.edu/
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Related research
Keywords: EXCHANGE RATE;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing

Cited by:
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  1. Olivier Jeanne & Andrew K. Rose, 1999. "Noise Trading and Exchange Rate Regimes," NBER Working Papers 7104, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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