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Mommentum in the UK Stock Market

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  • Ian Tonks

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  • Mark T Hon

Abstract

This paper investigates the presence of abnormal returns through the use of trading strategies that exploit the predictability of short run stock price movements. Based on historical returns of the largest set of individual securities in the UK stock market examined to date, this paper identifies profitable momentum trading strategies as investment tools over the period 1955-96. Our results show that returns on trading strategies cannot be accounted for by a simple adjustment for beta-risk. Also, although we find some evidence of a size effect in the UK stock market, this phenomenon cannot explain the momentum profits. The paper finds that these profitable investment strategies are apparent in the sub-sample 1977-96, in line with Liu, Strong and Xu (1999). However, they are not present in the earlier 1955-76 period. The implication is that momentum is not a general feature of the UK stock market, but is only apparent over certain time periods.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Financial Markets Group in its series FMG Discussion Papers with number dp405.

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Date of creation: Feb 2002
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Handle: RePEc:fmg:fmgdps:dp405

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Cited by:
  1. Ferdi Aarts & Thorsten Lehnert, 2005. "On style momentum strategies," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(13), pages 795-799.
  2. Humphrey, Jacquelyn E. & Lee, Darren D. & Shen, Yaokan, 2012. "Does it cost to be sustainable?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 626-639.
  3. Roscoe, Philip & Howorth, Carole, 2009. "Identification through technical analysis: A study of charting and UK non-professional investors," Accounting, Organizations and Society, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 206-221, February.
  4. Badreddine, Sina & Galariotis, Emilios C. & Holmes, Phil, 2012. "The relevance of information and trading costs in explaining momentum profits: Evidence from optioned and non-optioned stocks," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 589-608.
  5. Nicholas Rueilin Lee, 2012. "Firm ratings, momentum strategies, and crises: evidence from the US and Taiwanese stock markets," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer, vol. 26(4), pages 449-468, December.
  6. Patricia Chelley-steeley & Antonios Siganos, 2004. "Momentum profits and macroeconomic factors," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(7), pages 433-436.
  7. Keith Lam & Frank Li & Simon So, 2010. "On the validity of the augmented Fama and French’s (1993) model: evidence from the Hong Kong stock market," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 35(1), pages 89-111, July.
  8. Bettman, Jenni L. & Maher, Thomas R.B. & Sault, Stephen J., 2009. "Momentum profits in the Australian equity market: A matched firm approach," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 17(5), pages 565-579, November.
  9. Ising, Jan & Schiereck, Dirk & Simpson, Marc W. & Thomas, Thomas W., 2006. "Stock returns following large 1-month declines and jumps: Evidence of overoptimism in the German market," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(4), pages 598-619, September.
  10. Patricia Chelley-Steeley & Antonios Siganos, 2005. "Momentum Profits in Alternative Stock Market Structures," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005 63, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
  11. Shen, Qian & Szakmary, Andrew C. & Sharma, Subhash C., 2005. "Momentum and contrarian strategies in international stock markets: Further evidence," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 15(3), pages 235-255, July.
  12. Nawar, Hashem, 2010. "Industry Concentration and the Cross-section of Stock Returns: Evidence from the UK," MPRA Paper 28440, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Nov 2010.
  13. Morelli, David, 2014. "Momentum profits and conditional time-varying systematic risk," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 242-255.

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