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Portfolio choice with house value misperception

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Abstract

Households systematically overvalue or undervalue their houses. We compute house value misperception as the difference between self-reported and market house values. Misperception is sizable, countercyclical, and persistent. We find that a 1 percent increase in house overvaluation results, on average, in a 4.56 percent decrease in the share of risky stock holdings for those households that participate in the stock market. We then build a rational inattention model in which households make decisions based on their perceived level of housing wealth. Numerical simulations generate the effects of house value misperception on the portfolio choices that we observe in the data.

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  • Stefano Corradin & José Fillat & Carles Vergara-Alert, 2017. "Portfolio choice with house value misperception," Working Papers 17-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedbwp:17-16
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    1. Tokuo Iwaisako & Arito Ono & Amane Saito & Hidenobu Tokuda, 2022. "Disentangling the effect of home ownership on household stockholdings: Evidence from Japanese micro data," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 50(1), pages 268-295, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    portfolio choice; housing; transaction costs; information costs; inaction bands; rational inattention;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • D11 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Theory
    • D91 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • R21 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand

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