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A tendência à sobreapreciação da taxa de câmbio

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  • Pereira, Luiz Carlos Bresser

Abstract

In developing countries there is a tendency to the overvaluation of the exchange rate.It has two structural causes: the Dutch disease and the attraction that higher profit and interestrates usually prevailing in developing countries exert on foreign capitals, and four policycauses: the policy of growth with foreign savings, the control of inflation to exchange rateanchors, the policy of “capital deepening”, and exchange rate populism. Either the countryneutralizes this tendency and grows fast, or does not and will suffer cyclical balance of paymentcrises.

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Paper provided by Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil) in its series Textos para discussão with number 183.

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Date of creation: 13 Apr 2009
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Handle: RePEc:fgv:eesptd:183

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  1. Simon Johnson & Jonathan D. Ostry & Arvind Subramanian, 2007. "The Prospects for Sustained Growth in Africa: Benchmarking the Constraints," NBER Working Papers 13120, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Jeffrey D. Sachs, 1989. "Social Conflict and Populist Policies in Latin America," NBER Working Papers 2897, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. Rudiger Dornbusch & Sebastian Edwards, 1989. "Macroeconomic Populism in Latin America," NBER Working Papers 2986, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  4. Norman Loayza & Pablo Fajnzylber & César Calderón, 2004. "Economic Growth in Latin America and The Caribbean: Stylized Facts, Explanations, and Forecasts," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile 265, Central Bank of Chile.
  5. Arvind Subramanian & Jonathan David Ostry & Simon Johnson, 2007. "The Prospects for Sustained Growth in Africa," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund 07/52, International Monetary Fund.
  6. Ofair Razin & Susan M. Collins, 1997. "Real Exchange Rate Misalignments and Growth," NBER Working Papers 6174, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  7. Sachs, Jeffrey D. & Warner, Andrew M., 1999. "The big push, natural resource booms and growth," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 59(1), pages 43-76, June.
  8. Ofair Razin & Susan M. Collins, 1997. "Real Exchange Rate Misalignments and Growth," International Finance, EconWPA 9707001, EconWPA.
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