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The Euro’s Trade Effect: A Meta-Analysis

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  • Petr Polak

    (Institute of Economic Studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Charles University in Prague, Smetanovo nabrezi 6, 111 01 Prague 1, Czech Republic)

Abstract

The effect of common currency on bilateral trade also called Rose effect has been examined extensively in past decade. There is a huge variance of results in primary research which drives a large debate. Using meta-analysis we exploit 51 studies and 3254 estimates of rose effect and provide empirical review. Our results are in contrast with the most recent studies examining the effect of euro on bilateral trade and we found that publication bias in this area of research is diminishing. This study finds the effect of euro on bilateral trade to be between 2 and 6%. Using meta regression we conclude that data source, data structure and control variables are significantly affecting the estimated effect size, but estimation technique used does not.

Suggested Citation

  • Petr Polak, 2016. "The Euro’s Trade Effect: A Meta-Analysis," Working Papers IES 2016/22, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Nov 2016.
    • Handle: RePEc:fau:wpaper:wp2016_22
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    3. Andreas Dür & Christoph Moser & Gabriele Spilker, 2020. "The political economy of the European Union," The Review of International Organizations, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 561-572, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Rose effect; euro; trade; meta-analysis; publication bias;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C83 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Survey Methods; Sampling Methods
    • O12 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Microeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O32 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Management of Technological Innovation and R&D
    • D24 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Production; Cost; Capital; Capital, Total Factor, and Multifactor Productivity; Capacity

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