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The effects of replacement schemes on car sales: the Spanish case

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Author Info
Omar Licandro
Antonio R. Sampayo

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Abstract

This paper studies a model of car replacement designed to evaluate policies addressed to influence replacement decisions. An aggregate hazard function is computed from optimal replacement rules of heterogeneous consumers, which mimics the hump-shaped hazard function observed for the Spanish car market. The model is calibrated to evaluate quantitatively the Plan Prever, a replacement scheme introduced in Spain in 1997, finding that the positive effect of the subsidy is high in the short run but small in the long run for both sales and the average age of the stock.

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File URL: http://cadmus.iue.it/dspace/bitstream/1814/3912/1/ECO2005-20.pdf
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Paper provided by European University Institute in its series Economics Working Papers with number ECO2005/20.

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Date of creation: 2005
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Handle: RePEc:eui:euiwps:eco2005/20

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Related research
Keywords: scrapping replacement schemes heterogeneous consumers

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
H31 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - Household

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  1. Caballero, Ricardo J & Engel, Eduardo M R A, 1993. "Microeconomic Adjustment Hazards and Aggregate Dynamics," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 108(2), pages 359-83, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Rust, John, 1987. "Optimal Replacement of GMC Bus Engines: An Empirical Model of Harold Zurcher," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(5), pages 999-1033, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Robert W. Hahn, 1995. "An Economic Analysis of Scrappage," RAND Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 26(2), pages 222-242, Summer. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Mario Izquierdo & Omar Licandro & Alberto Maydeu, . "Car quality improvements and price indices in Spain," Working Papers 2001-18, FEDEA. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Baltas, N.C. & Xepapadeas, A., 1999. "Accelerating Vehicle Replacement and Environmental Protection: the Case of Passenger Cars in Greece," Athens University of Economics and Business 108, Athens University of Economics and Business, Department of International and European Economic Studies.
  6. Jerome Adda & Russell Cooper, 2000. "Balladurette and Juppette: A Discrete Analysis of Scrapping Subsidies," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 108(4), pages 778-806, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Omar Licandro & Antonio R. Sampayo, . "Los efectos de los Planes Renove y Prever sobre el reemplazo de turismos," Working Papers 97-22, FEDEA. [Downloadable!]
  8. Russell Cooper & John Haltiwanger & Laura Power, 1999. "Machine Replacement and the Business Cycle: Lumps and Bumps," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 89(4), pages 921-946, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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