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A Model for Forecasting Energy Demand and Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Ireland

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Author Info
John Fitz Gerald () (Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI))
Jonathan Hore
Ide Kearney () (Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI))

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Abstract

This paper briefly outlines the methodology used to develop a new model of energy demand. It contains a description of the model equations used to determine the sectoral demand for energy. It details the set of engineering relationships in the electricity generation block, while then detailing the determination of carbon dioxide (CO2) emission levels. It then outlines the links between this energy model and the main HERMES macroeconomic model. It looks at the performance of the energy model within sample, and contains some preliminary estimates of the links between energy prices and taxes and the level of carbon dioxide emissions. Appendix 1 details the notation used in the databank, while Appendix 2 lists the full set of equations included in the current version of the energy model.

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File URL: http://www.esri.ie/UserFiles/publications/20060831091011/WP0146%20A%20Model%20for%20Forecasting.pdf
File Format: application/pdf
File Function: First version, 2002
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) in its series Papers with number WP146.

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Length: 42 pages
Date of creation: Jan 2002
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:esr:wpaper:wp146

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. John Fitz Gerald, 2000. "Energy Demand to 2015," Papers WP136, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI). [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Tol, Richard S. J., 2007. "Irish Climate Change Policy for 2012: An Assessment," Quarterly Economic Commentary: Special Articles, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), vol. 2007(4-Winter), pages 104-117. [Downloadable!]
  2. Richard S. J. Tol & Tim Callan & Thomas Conefrey & John Fitz Gerald & Seán Lyons & Laura Malaguzzi Valeri & Susan Scott, 2008. "A Carbon Tax for Ireland," Papers WP246, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI). [Downloadable!]
  3. Bergin, Adele & Conefrey, Thomas & Fitz Gerald, John & Kearney, Ide, 2009. "The Behaviour of the Irish Economy: Insights from the HERMES Macro-Economic Model," Papers WP287, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI). [Downloadable!]
  4. Legge, Thomas & Scott, Susan, 2009. "Policy Options to Reduce Ireland's GHG Emissions [Instrument choice: the pros and cons of alternative policy instruments]," Papers WP284, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI). [Downloadable!]
  5. Richard S. J. Tol & Seán Lyons, 2008. "Incorporating GHG Emission Costs in the Economic Appraisal of Projects Supported by State Development Agencies," Papers WP247, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI). [Downloadable!]
  6. Thomas Conefrey & John Fitz Gerald & Laura Malaguzzi Valeri & Richard S. J. Tol, 2008. "The Impact of a Carbon Tax on Economic Growth and Carbon Dioxide Emissions in Ireland," Papers WP251, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI). [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-25.

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