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Farm/Household-level Simulation Results of Testing Policy and Other Scenarios

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  • Viaggi, Davide
  • Bartolini, Fabio
  • Puddu, Marco
  • Raggi, Meri

Abstract

Among the different production factors, land is the one that most often limits farm development and one of the most studied. The connection between policy and other context variables and land markets is at the core of the policy debate, including the present reform of the Common Agricultural Policy. The proposal of the latter has been published in October 2011 and in Italy it will include the switch of the payment regime from an historical to a regional basis. The authors’ objective is to simulate the impact of the proposed policy reform on the land market, particularly on land values and propensity to transaction. They combine insights and data from a farm household investment model revised and extended in order to simulate the demand curve for land in different policy scenarios and a survey of farmers stated intention carried out in the province of Bologna (Italy) in 2012. Based on these results, the authors calibrate a mathematical programming model of land market exchanges for the province of Bologna and use this model form simulation. The results of the model largely corroborate the results from the survey and both hint at a relevant reaction of the land demand and supply to the shift from the historical to the regionalised payments. As effect, the regionalisation would result in increased rental prices and in a tendency to the re-allocation of land.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Centre for European Policy Studies in its series Factor Markets Working Papers with number 166.

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Length: 17 pages
Date of creation: Jun 2013
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:eps:fmwppr:166

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  1. Rainey, Ronald L. & Dixon, Bruce L. & Ahrendsen, Bruce L. & Parsch, Lucas D. & Bierlen, Ralph W., 2005. "Arkansas Landlord Selection of Land-Leasing Contract Type and Terms," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association (IAMA), vol. 8(01).
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