IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/eps/fmwppr/132.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Simulation of Land Use and Investment Behaviour under Different Policy Scenarios: Results of the extended farm/household model

Author

Listed:
  • Puddu,Marco
  • Bartolini, Fabio
  • Viaggi,Davide

Abstract

Factor markets are a central issue in analyses of farm development and of agricultural sector vitality. Among the different production factors, land is one of the most studied. Several studies seek to estimate the effect of government policy payments on land value or land rental prices. The studies mostly agree that government payments and other types of policy support are significant in explaining land prices and account for a large share of them. In October 2011, the European Commission published a new policy proposal for the common agricultural policy (CAP) up to 2020. The proposed regulation includes a shift from historical to regional payments. The objective of this paper is to provide an ex ante analysis of the impact of the new CAP policy instruments on the land market. In particular, the effect of the regionalisation of payments in Italy is examined. The analysis is based on the use of a mathematical programming model to simulate the changes in land demand for a farm in Emilia Romagna. The results highlight the relevance of the new policy mechanism in determining a change in land demand. Yet the effect is highly dependent on initial ownership of entitlements under the historical payment scheme.

Suggested Citation

  • Puddu,Marco & Bartolini, Fabio & Viaggi,Davide, 2012. "Simulation of Land Use and Investment Behaviour under Different Policy Scenarios: Results of the extended farm/household model," Factor Markets Working Papers 132, Centre for European Policy Studies.
    • Handle: RePEc:eps:fmwppr:132
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.factormarkets.eu/system/files/FM%20WP%20No%2027%20Puddu%20et%20al.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dziemianowicz, Ryta Iwona & Przygodzka, Renata & Sadowski, Adam, 2008. "Direct Payments And Their Impact On The Land Market In Poland," 109th Seminar, November 20-21, 2008, Viterbo, Italy 44807, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    2. Oliver Balkhausen & Martin Banse & Harald Grethe, 2008. "Modelling CAP Decoupling in the EU: A Comparison of Selected Simulation Models and Results," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 59(1), pages 57-71, February.
    3. Viaggi, Davide & Raggi, Meri & Gomez y Paloma, Sergio, 2010. "An integer programming dynamic farm-household model to evaluate the impact of agricultural policy reforms on farm investment behaviour," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 207(2), pages 1130-1139, December.
    4. Pavel Ciaian & d'Artis Kancs & Jo Swinnen, 2008. "Static and Dynamic Distributional Effects of Decoupled Payments," Journal of Economics and Econometrics, Economics and Econometrics Society, vol. 51(2), pages 20-47.
    5. Rainey, Ronald L. & Dixon, Bruce L. & Ahrendsen, Bruce L. & Parsch, Lucas D. & Bierlen, Ralph W., 2005. "Arkansas Landlord Selection of Land-Leasing Contract Type and Terms," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 8(1), pages 1-19.
    6. Kilian, Stefan & Salhofer, Klaus, 2008. "Single Payments of the CAP: Where Do the Rents Go?," Agricultural Economics Review, Greek Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 9(2).
    7. Zier, Patrick & Petrick, Martin, 2010. "Cap Reform And The Effects Of Direct Payments On Heterogeneous Farm Structures In East Germany," 50th Annual Conference, Braunschweig, Germany, September 29-October 1, 2010 93948, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA).
    8. Ciaian, Pavel & Swinnen, Johan F.M., 2006. "AJAE Appendix: Land Market Imperfections and Agricultural Policy Impacts in the New EU Member States: A Partial Equilibrium Analysis," American Journal of Agricultural Economics APPENDICES, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 88(4), pages 1-10, November.
    9. Courleux, Frédéric & Guyomard, Hervé & Levert, Fabrice & Piet, Laurent, 2008. "How the EU Single Farm Payment should be modelled: lump-sum transfers, area payments or… what else?," Working Papers 211014, Institut National de la recherche Agronomique (INRA), Departement Sciences Sociales, Agriculture et Alimentation, Espace et Environnement (SAE2).
    10. Barry K. Goodwin & Ashok K. Mishra & François N. Ortalo-Magné, 2003. "What's Wrong with Our Models of Agricultural Land Values?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 85(3), pages 744-752.
    11. Jean-Christophe Bureau & Stefan Tangermann & Alan Matthews & Davide Viaggi & Christophe Crombez & Louise Knops & Johan Swinnen, 2012. "The Common Agricultural Policy after 2013," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 47(6), pages 316-342, November.
    12. E. Galko & P.‐A. Jayet, 2011. "Economic and environmental effects of decoupled agricultural support in the EU," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 42(5), pages 605-618, September.
    13. Bartolini, Fabio & Viaggi, Davide & Ronchi, Davide & Gomez y Paloma, Sergio & Sammeth, Frank, 2011. "Assessing the impact of future CAP reforms on the demand of production factors," 122nd Seminar, February 17-18, 2011, Ancona, Italy 99593, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    14. John E. Floyd, 1965. "The Effects of Farm Price Supports on the Returns to Land and Labor in Agriculture," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 73, pages 148-148.
    15. Johan F. M. Swinnen, 1999. "The political economy of land reform choices in Central and Eastern Europe," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 7(3), pages 637-664, November.
    16. Jin, Songqing & Jayne, Thomas S., 2011. "Impacts of Land Rental Markets on Rural Poverty in Kenya," 2011 Annual Meeting, July 24-26, 2011, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 103907, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Viaggi, Davide & Raggi, Meri & Puddu, Marco & Bartolini, Fabio, 2013. "Farm/Household-level Simulation Results of Testing Policy and Other Scenarios," Working papers 157113, Factor Markets, Centre for European Policy Studies.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Viaggi, Davide & Raggi, Meri & Puddu, Marco & Bartolini, Fabio, 2013. "Farm/Household-level Simulation Results of Testing Policy and Other Scenarios," Working papers 157113, Factor Markets, Centre for European Policy Studies.
    2. Pavel Ciaian & d’Artis Kancs & Johan Swinnen, 2010. "EU Land Markets and the Common Agricultural Policy," Journal of Economics and Econometrics, Economics and Econometrics Society, vol. 53(3), pages 1-31.
    3. Ciaian, Pavel & Pokrivcak, Jan & Kancs, d'Artis, 2013. "Empirical Evidence of the Distributional Effects of the CAP in New EU Member States," Working papers 157117, Factor Markets, Centre for European Policy Studies.
    4. Jerzy Michalek & Pavel Ciaian & d’Artis Kancs, 2014. "Capitalization of the Single Payment Scheme into Land Value: Generalized Propensity Score Evidence from the European Union," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 90(2), pages 260-289.
    5. Pavel Ciaian & Edoardo Baldoni & d'Artis Kancs & Dušan Drabik, 2021. "The Capitalization of Agricultural Subsidies into Land Prices," Annual Review of Resource Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 13(1), pages 17-38, October.
    6. Matthews, Alan & Salvatici, Luca & Scoppola, Margherita, 2017. "Trade Impacts of Agricultural Support in the EU," Commissioned Papers 252767, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
    7. repec:zbw:inwedp:652016 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Pavel Ciaian & d'Artis Kancs & Jo Swinnen, 2008. "Static and Dynamic Distributional Effects of Decoupled Payments," Journal of Economics and Econometrics, Economics and Econometrics Society, vol. 51(2), pages 20-47.
    9. Sahrbacher, Christoph, 2011. "Regional structural change in European agriculture: Effects of decoupling and EU accession," Studies on the Agricultural and Food Sector in Transition Economies, Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies (IAMO), volume 60, number 60.
    10. Feichtinger, Paul & Salhofer, Klaus, 2016. "Decoupled Single Farm Payments of the CAP and Land Rental Prices," Discussion Papers DP-65-2016, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna, Department of Economics and Social Sciences, Institute for Sustainable Economic Development.
    11. Viaggi, D. & Bartolini, Fabio & Puddu, M. & Raggi, M., 2013. "Impact of post-2013 CAP reform on land markets: evidence from farm surveys and farm-level modelling," 2013: Productivity and Its Impacts on Global Trade, June 2-4, 2013. Seville, Spain 152375, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
    12. Paul Feichtinger & Klaus Salhofer, 2016. "Decoupled Single Farm Payments of the CAP and Land Rental Prices," Working Papers 652016, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna, Department of Economics and Social Sciences, Institute for Sustainable Economic Development.
    13. repec:zbw:inwedp:582015 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Pavel Ciaian & D'Artis Kancs & Johan Swinnen, 2014. "The Impact of the 2013 Reform of the Common Agricultural Policy on Land Capitalization in the European Union," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 36(4), pages 643-673.
    15. Pavel Ciaian & d'Artis Kancs & Maria Espinosa, 2018. "The Impact of the 2013 CAP Reform on the Decoupled Payments’ Capitalisation into Land Values," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 69(2), pages 306-337, June.
    16. Kilian, Stefan & Salhofer, Klaus, 2009. "Entkoppelte Prämien, Bodenpreise und Wettbewerbsfähigkeit," German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics, vol. 58(03), pages 1-3, April.
    17. Calzadilla, Alvaro & Zhu, Tingju & Rehdanz, Katrin & Tol, Richard S.J. & Ringler, Claudia, 2013. "Economywide impacts of climate change on agriculture in Sub-Saharan Africa," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 150-165.
    18. Ciaian, Pavel, & Kancs, d’Artis & Swinnen, Jo & Van Herck, Kristine & Vranken, Liesbet, 2012. "Rental Market Regulations for Agricultural Land in EU Member States and Candidate Countries," Factor Markets Working Papers 117, Centre for European Policy Studies.
    19. Paul Feichtinger & Klaus Salhofer, 2016. "The Fischler Reform of the Common Agricultural Policy and Agricultural Land Prices," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 92(3), pages 411-432.
    20. Guastella, Gianni & Moro, Daniele & Sckokai, Paolo & Veneziani, Mario, 2014. "The capitalization of area payments into land rental prices: a panel sample selection approach," 2014 International Congress, August 26-29, 2014, Ljubljana, Slovenia 186375, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    21. Ciaian, Pavel & Ratinger, Tomáš, 2009. "Income Distribution Effects of EU Rural Development Policies: The Case of Farm Investment Support," Conference papers 331905, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    22. Pavel Ciaian & Dusan Drabik & Jan Falkowski & d'Artis Kancs, 2016. "Market Impacts of New Land Market Regulations in Eastern EU Member States," EERI Research Paper Series EERI RP 2016/02, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eps:fmwppr:132. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Eleni Kaditi (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cepssbe.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.