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Dollarization, Inflation Volatility and Underdeveloped Financial Markets in Transition Economies

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Author Info
Piontkovsky Ruslan ()
Abstract

The paper analyzes the phenomenon of dollarization in a sample of transition economies: Ukraine, Russia, Poland, Czech Republic, Romania, Slovenia, Croatia, Latvia, and Lithuania. Using the Thomas' portfolio balance model, the author tests how the degree of dollarization depends on the relative returns on financial assets, inflation volatility, and financial market development. The main conclusion from the analysis is that relative returns on assets (bank deposits in the domestic currency relative to deposits in foreign currencies) and inflation volatility have a significant effect on dollarization. The effect of financial market development is also captured, albeit indirectly, as dollarization is found to be dependent on the country’s balance of trade (the inflow of foreign currency).

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Paper provided by EERC Research Network, Russia and CIS in its series EERC Working Paper Series with number 03-02e.

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Length: 28 pages
Date of creation: 21 May 2003
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Handle: RePEc:eer:wpalle:03-02e

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Related research
Keywords: Ukraine; Russia; dollarization; asset substitution; currency substitution; transition economies; portfolio optimization; inflation volatility;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Guillermo Calvo & Carlos A. Végh Gramont, 1992. "Currency Substitution in Developing Countries - An Introduction," IMF Working Papers 92/40, International Monetary Fund.
  2. Sarajevs, Vadims, 2000. "Econometric Analysis of Currency Substitution: A Case of Latvia," BOFIT Discussion Papers 4/2000, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition. [Downloadable!]
  3. Eduardo Borensztein & Andrew Berg, 2000. "The Choice of Exchange Rate Regime and Monetary Target in Highly Dollarized Economies," IMF Working Papers 00/29, International Monetary Fund.
    Other versions:
  4. Aarle, B. van & Budina, N., 1995. "Currency Substitution in Eastern Europe," Discussion Paper 2, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Calvo, Guillermo A & Rodriguez, Carlos Alfredo, 1977. "A Model of Exchange Rate Determination under Currency Substitution and Rational Expectations," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 85(3), pages 617-25, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Branson, William H. & Henderson, Dale W., 1985. "The specification and influence of asset markets," Handbook of International Economics, in: R. W. Jones & P. B. Kenen (ed.), Handbook of International Economics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 15, pages 749-805 Elsevier. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Vegh, Carlos A., 1989. "The optimal inflation tax in the presence of currency substitution," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 139-146, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Liviatan, Nissan, 1981. "Monetary Expansion and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 89(6), pages 1218-27, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Alain Ize & Eduardo Levy Yeyati, 1998. "Dollarization of Financial Intermediation: Causes and Policy Implications," IMF Working Papers 98/28, International Monetary Fund.
  10. Vetlov, Igor, 2001. "Dollarization in Lithuania: An Econometric Approach," BOFIT Discussion Papers 1/2001, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition. [Downloadable!]
  11. Thomas, Lee R, 1985. "Portfolio Theory and Currency Substitution," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 17(3), pages 347-57, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Kyriakos C. Neanidis & Christos S. Savva, 2006. "The Effects of Uncertainty on Currency Substitution and Inflation: Evidence from Emerging Economies," The School of Economics Discussion Paper Series 0609, Economics, The University of Manchester. [Downloadable!]
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