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An Empirical Model of the Brazilian Country Risk - An Extension of the Beta Country Risk Model

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Author Info
Joaquim Pinto de Andrade
Vladimir Kuhl Teles

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Abstract

This paper develops a statistical model to study the brazilian country risk using a country beta model in spirit of Harvey and Zhou (1993), Erb et. al. (1996a, 1996b) and Gangemi et. al. (2000). Specifically, we analyze the impact of macroeconomic variables using a time-varying parameter approach. An extension of the original model is applied in order to verify the parameters’ stability in time. We find that monetary policy have a significant and stable impact on Brazil’s country risk and international reserves have a significant impact only in fixed exchange rate period

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Paper provided by Econometric Society in its series Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings with number 284.

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Date of creation: 11 Aug 2004
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Handle: RePEc:ecm:latm04:284

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Related research
Keywords: beta risk; country risk;

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This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports: References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Razin, Assaf & Sadka, Efraim, 2001. "Country risk and capital flow reversals," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 72(1), pages 73-77, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 1989. "Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 23-49, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Abell, John D. & Krueger, Thomas M., 1989. "Macroeconomic influences on beta," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 41(2), pages 185-193, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Bernard Dumas, 1994. "A Test of the International CAPM Using Business Cycles Indicators as Instrumental Variables," NBER Working Papers 4657, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Gangemi, Michael A. M. & Brooks, Robert D. & Faff, Robert W., 2000. "Modeling Australia's country risk: a country beta approach," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 52(3), pages 259-276. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Harvey, Campbell R. & Zhou, Guofu, 1993. "International asset pricing with alternative distributional specifications," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 107-131, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Dumas, B., 1994. "A Test of the International Capm using Business Cycles Indicators as Instrumental Variables," DELTA Working Papers 94-07, DELTA (Ecole normale supérieure).
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Sveshnikov, Sergey & Bocharnikov, Victor, 2009. "Modeling risk of international country relations," MPRA Paper 15745, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  2. Shamila Jayasuriya & William Shambora, 2008. "The world is shrinking: Evidence for stock market convergence," Economics Bulletin, Economics Bulletin, vol. 7(14), pages 1-12. [Downloadable!]
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