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Variation of interest-rate parity and its asymmetry on stock return in a jump-diffusion process

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  • Jer-Shiou Chiou
  • Pei-Shan Wu
  • Ming-Chih Lee
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    Abstract

    Two-stage methodology is developed to verify how the unanticipated asymmetry variations affect the stock returns. A GARCH model is investigated on residuals from a CIP identification followed by an ARJI model examination of the stock return. Consequently, a negative exogenous change can result of a more downward impact on stock return. Although this exogenous change is environmental, it could be implicated in macro-data. Because of the similarity in politics and economics, Korea and Taiwan were considered. Based upon the derivation of CIP, stock returns are found to be asymmetrically sensitive to the environment. The conditional jumps are larger than those where the news is of no substance. The findings demonstrate the importance of the stability.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal Applied Financial Economics.

    Volume (Year): 16 (2006)
    Issue (Month): 17 ()
    Pages: 1309-1316

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    Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:16:y:2006:i:17:p:1309-1316

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    1. Torsten Persson & Guido Tabellini, 1997. "Political Economics and Macroeconomic Policy," NBER Working Papers 6329, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May.
    3. Robert Brooks & Vanitha Ragunathan, 2003. "Returns and volatility on the Chinese stock markets," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(10), pages 747-752.
    4. John H. Boyd & Ravi Jagannathan & Jian Hu, 2001. "The Stock Market's Reaction to Unemployment News: Why Bad News is Usually Good for Stocks," NBER Working Papers 8092, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Gyan Pradhan & Zeljan Schuster & Kamal Upadhyaya, 2004. "Exchange rate uncertainty and the level of investment in selected South-east Asian countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(19), pages 2161-2165.
    6. David M. Cutler & James M. Poterba & Lawrence H. Summers, 1988. "What Moves Stock Prices?," NBER Working Papers 2538, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Guillermo A. Calvo & Allan Drazen, 1997. "Uncertain Duration of Reform: Dynamic Implications," NBER Working Papers 5925, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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