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Volatility spillovers of Federal Reserve and ECB balance sheet expansions to emerging market economies

Author

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  • Apostolou, Apostolos
  • Beirne, John

Abstract

This paper examines volatility spillovers from changes in the size of the balance sheets of the Federal Reserve FED) and European Central Bank (ECB) to emerging market economies (EMEs) from 2003 to 2014. We find that EME bond markets are most susceptible to positive volatility spillovers from both the FED and ECB in terms of magnitude. Positive volatility spillovers to EME currency markets are higher in the case of FED balance sheet expansions than those of the ECB by a factor of about ten. By contrast, we find that EME stock markets are subject to negative volatility spillovers. Moreover, we find only limited evidence of volatility transmission to the real economy of EMEs following the monetary policy actions of the FED and ECB. Finally, we show that the proportion of the volatility in EMEs that is accounted for by changes in FED and ECB balance sheets shifts over time. JEL Classification: F3, F4, F16, G1

Suggested Citation

  • Apostolou, Apostolos & Beirne, John, 2017. "Volatility spillovers of Federal Reserve and ECB balance sheet expansions to emerging market economies," Working Paper Series 2044, European Central Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20172044
    Note: 733190
    as

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    File URL: https://www.ecb.europa.eu//pub/pdf/scpwps/ecbwp2044.en.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Alessio Ciarlone & Andrea Colabella, 2018. "Asset price volatility in EU-6 economies: how large is the role played by the ECB?," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1175, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    2. Demetrio Lacava & Luca Scaffidi Domianello, 2021. "The Incidence of Spillover Effects during the Unconventional Monetary Policies Era," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-18, May.
    3. Justinas Lubys & Pradiptarathi Panda, 2021. "US and EU unconventional monetary policy spillover on BRICS financial markets: an event study," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 48(2), pages 353-371, May.
    4. C. Ciocirlan & M. Nițoi, 2023. "Sovereign risk connectedness: the impact of ECB’s policy announcements in Central and Eastern Europe," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 50(4), pages 1025-1054, November.
    5. Alejandro Torres-García & Jaime Montoya-Arbeláez & Laura Wberth-Escobar, 2022. "Commodity price shocks and the balance sheet effect in emerging economies," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 2081-2110, November.
    6. Berg, Kimberly A. & Vu, Nam T., 2019. "International spillovers of U.S. financial volatility," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 19-34.
    7. Annette Meinusch, 2017. "When the Fed sneezes - Spillovers from U.S. Monetary Policy to Emerging Markets," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201730, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    8. Alessio Ciarlone & Andrea Colabella, 2021. "ECB'S non‐standard monetary policy and asset price volatility: Evidence from EU‐6 economies," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 1503-1530, January.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    central bank balance sheets; financial markets; unconventional monetary policy; volatility spillovers;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
    • F16 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Labor Market Interactions
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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