This file is part of IDEAS, which uses RePEc data


[ Papers | Articles | Software | Books | Chapters | Authors | Institutions | JEL Classification | NEP reports | Search | New papers by email | Author registration | Rankings | Volunteers | FAQ | Blog | Help! ]

Temporal Aggregation Effects In Choosing The Optimal Lag Order In Stable Arma Models. Some Monte Carlo Results

Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics
Author Info
Dikaios Tserkezos () (Department of Economics, University of Crete, Greece)
Maria Nikoloudaki
Abstract

A crucial aspect of empirical research based on ARIMA(p,q) model is the choice of the appropriate lag order. Several criteria have been used in order to identify the appropriate order of a ARIMA(p,q) process. In this paper we investigate the effects of using a variation of selection criteria under different temporal aggregation levels. We don¢t spend our attention in determining the appropriate order but on the effects of using the above selection criteria on the dynamic characteristics (impulse responses) and the forecasting properties of the ARIMA(p,q) process. The conducted Monte Carlo simulation experiments show that the use of temporally aggregated data can affect seriously the impulse responses and the forecasting properties of the ARIMA model.

Download Info
To download:

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. Information about this may be contained in the File-Format links below. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.

File URL: http://economics.soc.uoc.gr/wpa/docs/IWA.pdf
File Format: application/pdf
File Function: First version
Download Restriction: no

Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Crete, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 0822.

Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML (with abstract), plain text (with abstract), BibTeX, RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite), ReDIF
Length: 12 pages
Date of creation: 01 Jan 2005
Date of revision:
Publication status: Published in IWA International Conference on Water Economics, Statistics, and Finance
Handle: RePEc:crt:wpaper:0822

Contact details of provider:
Postal: Gallos - Rethymno 74100
Phone: +30 831 77405
Fax: +30 831 77406
Web page: http://economics.soc.uoc.gr/
More information through EDIRC

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: (Kostis Pigounakis).

Related research
Keywords: Stable ARMA process; temporal aggregation and stochastic simulation;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
C43 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Index Numbers and Aggregation
C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

  1. Granger, C. W. J. & Siklos, Pierre L., 1995. "Systematic sampling, temporal aggregation, seasonal adjustment, and cointegration theory and evidence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1-2), pages 357-369. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Drost, F.C. & Nijman, T.E., 1992. "Temporal Aggregation of Garch Processes," Papers 9240, Tilburg - Center for Economic Research.
    Other versions:
  3. Otero, Jesus & Smith, Jeremy, 2000. "Testing for cointegration: power versus frequency of observation -- further Monte Carlo results," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 67(1), pages 5-9, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Pierse, R. G. & Snell, A. J., 1995. "Temporal aggregation and the power of tests for a unit root," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 65(2), pages 333-345, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Ng, Serena, 1995. "Testing for unit roots in flow data sampled at different frequencies," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(3-4), pages 237-242, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Weiss, Andrew A., 1984. "Systematic sampling and temporal aggregation in time series models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 271-281, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Marcellino, Massimiliano, 1999. "Some Consequences of Temporal Aggregation in Empirical Analysis," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 17(1), pages 129-36, January.
  8. Zellner, Arnold & Montmarquette, Claude, 1971. "A Study of Some Aspects of Temporal Aggregation Problems in Econometric Analyses," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 53(4), pages 335-42, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Full references

Statistics
Access and download statistics

Did you know? IDEAS indexes over 800000 items of research in Economics alone.

This page was last updated on 2009-11-6.

This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Department of Economics, College of Liberal Arts and Sciences, University of Connecticut using RePEc data on a server sponsored by the Society for Economic Dynamics.