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Temporal Aggregation and Economic Time Series

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Author Info
Rossana, Robert J
Seater, John J

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Abstract

The authors examine the effects of temporal aggregation on the estimated time-series properties of economic data. Theory predicts temporal aggregation loses information about the underlying data processes. The authors find those losses to be substantial. Monthly and quarterly data are governed by complex time-series processes with much low-frequency cyclical variation, whereas annual data are governed by extremely simple processes with virtually no cyclical variation. Cycles of much more than a year's duration in the monthly data disappear when the data are aggregated to annual observations. Also, the aggregated data show more long-run persistence than the underlying disaggregated data.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by American Statistical Association in its journal Journal of Business and Economic Statistics.

Volume (Year): 13 (1995)
Issue (Month): 4 (October)
Pages: 441-51
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Handle: RePEc:bes:jnlbes:v:13:y:1995:i:4:p:441-51

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  1. Rajaguru GULASEKARAN & Tilak ABEYSINGHE, 2002. "The Distortionary Effects Of Temporal Aggregation On Granger Causality," Departmental Working Papers wp0204, National University of Singapore, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  2. Luiz Maia Filho, 2008. "On the existence of well-behaved macro utility functions: reassessing the power of Varian's revealed preference test in consumption aggregates," Anais do XXXVI Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 36th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 200806301053170, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics]. [Downloadable!]
  3. Steven Morling, 2002. "Output Adjustment in Developing Countries: a Structural Var Approach," Discussion Papers Series 307, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia. [Downloadable!]
  4. Andrea Silvestrini & David Veredas, 2008. "Temporal aggregation of univariate and multivariate time series models: A survey," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 685, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Steven Cook, 2000. "Durability and Asymmetry in UK Consumers' Expenditure," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 113-121, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Deleersnyder, B. & Geyskens, I. & Gielens, K. & Dekimpe, M.G., 2002. "How Cannibalistic is the Internet Channel?," Research Paper ERS-2002-22-MKT Revision_, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus Uni. [Downloadable!]
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