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Output Fluctuations and Fiscal Policy: US State and Local Governments 1978-1994

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Author Info
Sorensen, Bent E
Yosha, Oved

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Abstract

What are the cyclical properties of US state and local government fiscal policy? The budget surplus of local and, in particular, state governments is procyclical, smoothing disposable income and consumption of state residents. This happens over both short- and medium-term horizons. Procyclical surpluses are the result of strongly procyclical revenues, and weakly procyclical expenditures. The budgets of trust funds and utilities are procyclical. Federal grants are procyclical, exacerbating the cyclical amplitude of state level income movements; although they smooth the idiosyncratic component of shocks to state output. State and local budget surpluses are affected by balanced budget rules at the short- but not at the medium-term horizon. Further, budgets are less procyclical in conservative states.

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Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 2286.

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Date of creation: Nov 1999
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:2286

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Related research
Keywords: Off-Budgeting; Political Business Cycles; State And Local Government Fiscal Policy;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
H10 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - General
H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General
H30 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - General
H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General

References listed on IDEAS
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Karin Mayr & Johann Scharler, 2009. "Asymmetric Fiscal Stabilization Policy and the Public Deficit: Theory and Evidence," Vienna Economics Papers 0908, University of Vienna, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  2. Colin Hunt, 2005. "Discretion and Cyclicality in Irish Budgetary Management 1969-2003," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 36(3), pages 295-321. [Downloadable!]
  3. António Afonso & Luca Agnello & Davide Furceri, 2008. "Fiscal Policy Responiveness, Persistence and Discretion," Working Papers 2008/50, Department of Economics at the School of Economics and Management (ISEG), Technical University of Lisbon.. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Ayako Kondo & Justin Svec, 2009. "Fiscal Policy Cyclicality and Growth within the U.S. States," Working Papers 0911, College of the Holy Cross, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  5. Luca Agnello & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2009. "The Determinants of Public Deficit Volatility," NIPE Working Papers 11/2009, NIPE - Universidade do Minho. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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