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Implied Volatility Functions: Empirical Tests

Author

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  • Dumas, Bernard J
  • Fleming, Jeff
  • Whaley, Robert E

Abstract

Black and Scholes (1973) implied volatilities tend to be systematically related to the option’s exercise price and time to expiration. Derman and Kani (1994), Dupire (1994), and Rubinstein (1994) attribute this behaviour to the fact that the Black/Scholes constant volatility assumption is violated in practice. These authors hypothesize that the volatility of the underlying asset’s return is a deterministic function of the asset price and time, and develop the deterministic volatility function (DVF) option valuation model, which has the potential of fitting the observed cross-section of option prices exactly. Using a sample of Standard and Poors index of 500 companies (S&P 500) options during the period June 1988 through December 1993, we evaluate the economic significance of the implied deterministic volatility function by examining the predictive and hedging performance of the DVF option valuation model.

Suggested Citation

  • Dumas, Bernard J & Fleming, Jeff & Whaley, Robert E, 1996. "Implied Volatility Functions: Empirical Tests," CEPR Discussion Papers 1369, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:1369
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    1. Yacine Aït-Sahalia & Andrew W. Lo, "undated". "Nonparametric Estimation of State-Price Densities Implicit in Financial Asset Prices," CRSP working papers 332, Center for Research in Security Prices, Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago.
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    Cited by:

    1. Zsembery, Levente, 2003. "A volatilitás előrejelzése és a visszaszámított modellek [Forecasting of volatility and implied models]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(6), pages 519-542.
    2. Robert Tompkins, 2001. "Implied volatility surfaces: uncovering regularities for options on financial futures," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(3), pages 198-230.
    3. Rama CONT, 1998. "Beyond implied volatility: extracting information from option prices," Finance 9804002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Garcia, R. & Renault, E., 1998. "Risk Aversion, Intertemporal Substitution, and Option Pricing," Cahiers de recherche 9801, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
    5. Garry Twite, 1996. "The Pricing of SPI Futures Options with Daily Futures Style Margin Payments," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 21(2), pages 139-157, December.
    6. Chang, Carolyn W. & S.K. Chang, Jack & Lim, Kian-Guan, 1998. "Information-time option pricing: theory and empirical evidence," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(2), pages 211-242, May.
    7. Schmitt, Christian, 1996. "Option pricing using EGARCH models," ZEW Discussion Papers 96-20, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    8. David S. Bates, 1997. "Post-'87 Crash Fears in S&P 500 Futures Options," NBER Working Papers 5894, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Carol Alexandra, 2002. "Common Correlation and Calibrating the Lognormal Forward Rate Model," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2002-18, Henley Business School, University of Reading, revised Jan 2003.
    10. Pena, Ignacio & Rubio, Gonzalo & Serna, Gregorio, 1999. "Why do we smile? On the determinants of the implied volatility function," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(8), pages 1151-1179, August.
    11. Joshua V. Rosenberg & Robert F. Engle, 1997. "Option Hedging Using Empirical Pricing Kernels," NBER Working Papers 6222, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Carol Alexander, 2002. "Short and Long Term Smile Effects: The Binomial Normal Mixture Diffusion Model," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2003-06, Henley Business School, University of Reading, revised Mar 2003.
    13. Peter A. Abken & Saikat Nandi, 1996. "Options and volatility," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, vol. 81(Dec), pages 21-35.
    14. Groh, Alexander P., 2004. "Risikoadjustierte Performance von Private Equity-Investitionen," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 21382, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    15. Steven Heston & Saikat Nandi, 1997. "A closed-form GARCH option pricing model," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 97-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asset Prices; Volatility;

    JEL classification:

    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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