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Empirical Regularities of Chilean Business Cycles

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  • Agnès Belaisch
  • Claudio Soto

Abstract

This paper documents the empirical regularities characterizing business cycles in Chile in a wide range of economic activities. While the country presents many of the typical features of business fluctuations in OECD countries, Chilean cycles present some striking peculiarities. Trade represents an important part of economic activity as exports move contemporaneously with output and the terms of trade lead the cycle long in advance. Besides, public policies play a significant role in short-run economic fluctuations: government expenditures and monetary policy variables lead the cycle 2 to 3 quarters in advance. Kydland and Prescott's (1990) ``monetary myth'' is alive in Chile.

Suggested Citation

  • Agnès Belaisch & Claudio Soto, 1998. "Empirical Regularities of Chilean Business Cycles," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 41, Central Bank of Chile.
    • Handle: RePEc:chb:bcchwp:41
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    File URL: https://www.bcentral.cl/documents/33528/133326/DTBC_41.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Backus, David K & Kehoe, Patrick J & Kydland, Finn E, 1994. "Dynamics of the Trade Balance and the Terms of Trade: The J-Curve?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 84(1), pages 84-103, March.
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    12. Erik Haindl R. & Rodrigo Fuentes, 1986. "Estimación del stock de capital en Chile: 1960-1984," Estudios de Economia, University of Chile, Department of Economics, vol. 13(1 Year 19), pages 39-72, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Pacheco Jiménez, J.F., 2001. "Business cycles in small open economies: the case of Costa Rica," ISS Working Papers - General Series 19075, International Institute of Social Studies of Erasmus University Rotterdam (ISS), The Hague.
    2. Se Kyu Choi-Ha & Luis Felipe Lagos, 2003. "El Dinero como Indicador Líder," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 40(120), pages 259-283.
    3. Francisco Rosende & Matías Tapia, 2015. "Monetary Policy in Chile: Institutions, Objectives,and Instruments," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Ricardo J. Caballero & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (ed.),Economic Policies in Emerging-Market Economies Festschrift in Honor of Vittorio Corbo, edition 1, volume 21, chapter 12, pages 263-307, Central Bank of Chile.
    4. Jorge Enrique Restrepo, 1998. "Reglas monetarias en Colombia y Chile," Coyuntura Económica, Fedesarrollo, December.
    5. Helmut Franken & Guillermo Le Fort & Eric Parrado, 2005. "Business Cycle Dynamics and Shock Resilience in Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 331, Central Bank of Chile.
    6. Stijn Claessens & M. Ayhan Kose & Marco E. Terrones, 2011. "Recessions and Financial Disruptions in Emerging Markets: A Bird’s Eye View," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Luis Felipe Céspedes & Roberto Chang & Diego Saravia (ed.),Monetary Policy under Financial Turbulence, edition 1, volume 16, chapter 4, pages 059-104, Central Bank of Chile.
    7. Jorge Enrique Restrepo & Claudio Soto, 2004. "Regularidades Empíricas de la Economía Chilena," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 301, Central Bank of Chile.
    8. Antonio Spilimbergo, 2002. "Copper and the Chilean Economy, 1960-98," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(2), pages 115-126.

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