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Price Wars and Collusion in the Spanish Electricity Market Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Natalia Fabra (IDEI, Universitè de Toulouse)
Juan Toro (Centro de Estudios Andaluces )
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We analyze the pattern of pool prices in the Spanish electricity market during 1998 by means of a Time Varying Transition Probabilities Markov switching model. Our purpose is twofold: firstly, to identify and date the drops in prices that cannot be accounted for by supply nor demand conditions; and secondly, under the assumption that these correspond with reversions to noncooperative behaviour, to identify the trigger variables upon which a collusive equilibrium could be based upon. Our results confirm the hypothesis that two distinct price levels characterize the time series of pool prices, and point to the conclusion that price wars are induced by changes in the major generators' market shares. In turn, this shows that firms' pricing behaviour is highly influenced by the way in which the socalled Competition Transition Charges (CTCs) are computed.
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Paper provided by Centro de Estudios Andaluces in its series Economic Working Papers at Centro de Estudios Andaluces with number
E2001/05.
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Length: 35 pages
Date of creation: 2001Date of revision:
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Keywords: Electricity Markets ; Tacit Collusion ; Markov Switching ; Other versions of this item:
Find related papers by JEL classification: C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions L13 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Oligopoly and Other Imperfect Markets L94 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Electric Utilities
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