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Capital Flow Types, External Financing Needs, and Industrial Growth: 99 countries, 1991-2007

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  • Aizenman, Joshua
  • Sushko, Vladyslav

Abstract

manufacturing industries, 99 countries, 1991-2007, extending Rajan-Zingales (1998). We utilize externalfinance dependence measures in a series of cross-sectional regressions of manufacturing industries’growth rates covering 17 years. Net portfolio debt inflows are negatively associated with growth duringthe mid 1990s. The magnitudes of the negative effect of surges in portfolio debt inflows on growth aresubstantial in the late 1990s for a number of countries. The effect of debt inflows on growth in the 2000sis rather muted. Surges in portfolio equity inflows also exhibit a negative association with aggregategrowth in the manufacturing sector. For instance, the inflow surge during the financial liberalizationperiod, 1993-1994, is associated with a sharp decline in aggregate manufacturing sector growth, but a risein the growth of relatively more financially constrained industries. Equity inflows exhibited economicallysignificant positive impact on the growth of financially constrained industries, unlike their negativeimpact on the average manufacturing growth rate. FDI inflows exhibit a positive association withaggregate manufacturing growth during most of the sample period, both at the aggregate level andspecifically for the industries in need of external financing.

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  • Aizenman, Joshua & Sushko, Vladyslav, 2011. "Capital Flow Types, External Financing Needs, and Industrial Growth: 99 countries, 1991-2007," Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt3fb716f8, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz.
    • Handle: RePEc:cdl:ucscec:qt3fb716f8
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    Cited by:

    1. Joshua Aizenman & Brian Pinto, 2013. "Managing Financial Integration and Capital Mobility—Policy Lessons from the Past Two Decades," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(4), pages 636-653, September.
    2. Gente, Karine & León-Ledesma, Miguel A. & Nourry, Carine, 2015. "External constraints and endogenous growth: Why didn't some countries benefit from capital flows?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 223-249.
    3. Joshua Aizenman, 2011. "Trilemma and Financial Stability Configurations in Asia," Macroeconomics Working Papers 23219, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
    4. Maria Tsiapa, 2014. "Industrial Growth In The Integrated European Economic Space," Organizations and Markets in Emerging Economies, Faculty of Economics, Vilnius University, vol. 5(2).
    5. Calderón, César & Kubota, Megumi, 2019. "Ride the Wild Surf: An investigation of the drivers of surges in capital inflows," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 112-136.
    6. Antonio Ciccone & Elias Papaioannou, 2016. "Estimating Cross-Industry Cross-Country Interaction Models Using Benchmark Industry Characteristics," NBER Working Papers 22368, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Joshua Aizenman & Brian Pinto & Vladyslav Sushko, 2011. "Financial Sector Ups and Downs and the Real Sector: Up by the stairs, down by the parachute," NBER Working Papers 17530, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Rodolphe Desbordes, 2022. "Financial foreign direct investment and the economic performance of developing countries," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(4), pages 1229-1257, September.
    9. Aizenman, Joshua & Sushko, Vladyslav, 2011. "Capital flows: Catalyst or Hindrance to economic takeoffs?," Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt79f5144f, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz.
    10. Marcin Grela & Aleksandra Majchrowska & Tomasz Michałek & Jakub Mućk & Agnieszka Stążka-Gawrysiak & Grzegorz Tchorek & Marcin Wagner, 2017. "Is Central and Eastern Europe converging towards the EU-15?," NBP Working Papers 264, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    11. Aizenman, Joshua & Pinto, Brian & Sushko, Vladyslav, 2013. "Financial sector ups and downs and the real sector in the open economy: Up by the stairs, down by the parachute," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 1-30.
    12. Aizenman, Joshua & Pinto, Brian & Sushko, Vladyslav, 2011. "Financial sector ups and downs and the real sector : big hindrance, little help," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5860, The World Bank.
    13. Raul V. Fabella & Fidelina N. Carlos & Sarah Lynne S. Daway & Geoffrey M. Ducanes, . "Giving the BSP an Extra Mop : A Response to Short-Term Capital Inflows," PCED Policy Notes, Philippine Center for Economic Development.
    14. de la Torre, Augusto & Didier, Tatiana & Pinat, Magali, 2014. "Can Latin America tap the globalization upside ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6837, The World Bank.
    15. I. Shovkun, 2016. "Neo-industrialization in Ukraine: are there macroeconomic background and investment potential?," Economy and Forecasting, Valeriy Heyets, issue 4, pages 48-69.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Social and Behavioral Sciences; external finance dependence; portfolio debt; portfolio equity; FDI inflows; manufacturing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies

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