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Interest Rate Parity And The Exchange Risk Premium: Evidence From Panel Data

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  • E. Scott Mayfield

    (Department of Economics, Boston College)

  • Robert G. Murphy

    (Department of Economics, Boston College)

Abstract

This paper provides evidence that a time-varying risk premium is responsible for the rejection of the interest rate parity theory. We us a panel data set of returns on the Eurocurrency deposits and employ cross-section / time series methods to account for common movements in risk premia across deposits denominated in different currencies.

Suggested Citation

  • E. Scott Mayfield & Robert G. Murphy, 1993. "Interest Rate Parity And The Exchange Risk Premium: Evidence From Panel Data," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 239, Boston College Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:boc:bocoec:239
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    Cited by:

    1. So, Raymond W., 2001. "Price and volatility spillovers between interest rate and exchange value of the US dollar," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 95-107.
    2. Razzaque Bhatti & Imad Moosa, 1995. "An alternative approach to testing uncovered interest parity," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(12), pages 478-481.
    3. Haas Ornelas, José Renato, 2019. "Expected currency returns and volatility risk premia," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 206-234.
    4. Mayfield, E. Scott & Murphy, Robert G., 1996. "Explaining the term structure of interest rates: A panel data approach," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 11-21, February.
    5. Engel, Charles, 1996. "The forward discount anomaly and the risk premium: A survey of recent evidence," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 3(2), pages 123-192, June.
    6. Imad Moosa & Razzaque Bhatti, 1997. "Are Asian Markets Integrated? Evidence for Six Countries Vis-A-Vis Japan," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(1), pages 51-67.
    7. Van Newby, 2002. "The effects of news on exchange rates when the risk premium is considered," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(2), pages 147-153.
    8. Rui Albuquerque, 2004. "The Forward Premium Puzzle in a Model of Imperfect Information: Theory and Evidence," International Finance 0405007, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Jason Childs & Stuart Mestelman, 2006. "Rate‐of‐return Parity in Experimental Asset Markets," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(3), pages 331-347, August.
    10. Pornpinun Chantapacdepong, 2007. "Determinants of the time varying risk premia," Bristol Economics Discussion Papers 07/597, School of Economics, University of Bristol, UK.
    11. Takumi Ito & Fumiko Takeda, 2022. "Do sentiment indices always improve the prediction accuracy of exchange rates?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(4), pages 840-852, July.
    12. George Halkos & Stephanos Papadamou, 2007. "Significance of risk modelling in the term structure of interest rates," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(3), pages 237-247.
    13. Albuquerque, Rui, 2008. "The forward premium puzzle in a model of imperfect information," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 99(3), pages 461-464, June.

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