Advanced Search
MyIDEAS: Login to save this article or follow this journal

Significance of risk modelling in the term structure of interest rates


Author Info

  • George Halkos
  • Stephanos Papadamou


This study examines the significance of risk modelling and asymmetries when researchers test the popular economic theories concerning the term structure of interest rates. A panel data set of returns on government bond portfolios was used and methods to account for related movements in risk premia across assets with different currency denomination were employed. Rather than attempting to model risk directly in terms of observables, the study has instead exploited an implication of the CAPM concerning how risk premia for a given maturity structure would vary through time in a related manner across different type of assets. In light of recent non-linear research in the area of term structure of interest rates the hypothesis is investigated that the spread effect might have a non-linear impact on excess holding period yield (EHPY). Non-linear effects of spread on EHPY were found in all the maturity structure exception being the short-term maturities. There was evidence for a mean reversion process of returns only for large spread effects in international bond markets. Concerning the rational expectation hypothesis the empirical work provides evidence against it. However, testing this hypothesis over the longer maturity bonds can be very sensitive to the modelling process of risk and possible asymmetries.

Download Info

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
File URL:
Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version under "Related research" (further below) or search for a different version of it.

Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal Applied Financial Economics.

Volume (Year): 17 (2007)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 237-247

as in new window
Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:17:y:2007:i:3:p:237-247

Contact details of provider:
Web page:

Order Information:

Related research



No references listed on IDEAS
You can help add them by filling out this form.


Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
as in new window

Cited by:
  1. Papadamou, Stephanos & Tzivinikos, Trifon, 2013. "The risk relevance of International Financial Reporting Standards: Evidence from Greek banks," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 43-54.
  2. Phillip Daves & Michael Ehrhardt, 2011. "Creating a synthetic after-tax zero-coupon bond using US Treasury STRIP bonds: implications for the true after-tax spot rate," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(10), pages 695-705.


This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.


Access and download statistics


When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:17:y:2007:i:3:p:237-247. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Michael McNulty).

If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.