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Estimating Exchange Market Pressure and Intervention Activity

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Author Info
Emanuel-Werner Kohlscheen

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Abstract

Using the index proposed by Weymark (1995) for small open economies, the paper computes exchange market pressure and intervention indexes for Chile in the period from 1990 to 1998. This statistics can be used to assess timing and scale of currency crises, as they include exchange rate and reserves variations in one single indicator. The index is suited for intermediate exchange rate policies, since it gives due consideration to the possibility of accommodating exchange market pressures through changes in domestic credit. The monetarist model developed suggests low effectiveness of controls in affecting the exchange rate level, when the interest rate-elasticity of money demand is low. Substantial appreciative pressure on the Chilean peso is found over the period, with exception of isolated quarters following the introduction of the reserve requirement and following the outset of the Asian crisis.

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File URL: http://www.bcb.gov.br/pec/wps/ingl/wps09.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department in its series Working Papers Series with number 9.

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Date of creation: Nov 2000
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Handle: RePEc:bcb:wpaper:9

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Web page: http://www.bcb.gov.br/?english

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

  1. Montiel, Peter & Reinhart, Carmen M., 1999. "Do capital controls and macroeconomic policies influence the volume and composition of capital flows? Evidence from the 1990s," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 619-635, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Girton, Lance & Roper, Don, 1977. "A Monetary Model of Exchange Market Pressure Applied to the Postwar Canadian Experience," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 67(4), pages 537-48, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. repec:chb:bcchwp:06 is not listed on IDEAS
  4. Weymark, Diana N, 1998. "A General Approach to Measuring Exchange Market Pressure," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 50(1), pages 106-21, January.
  5. Frenkel, Jacob A. & Aizenman, Joshua, 1982. "Aspects of the optimal management of exchange rates," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 13(3-4), pages 231-256, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Weymark, Diana N., 1995. "Estimating exchange market pressure and the degree of exchange market intervention for Canada," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(3-4), pages 273-295, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Weymark, Diana N, 1997. "Measuring the degree of exchange market intervention in a small open economy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 55-79, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Guillermo Le Fort, 1998. "La PolĂ­tica Monetaria, el Tipo de Cambio Real y el Encaje al Influjo de Capitales: Un Modelo AnalĂ­tico Simple," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 36, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
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  1. Stavarek, Daniel, 2007. "Comparative analysis of the exchange market pressure in Central European countries with the Eurozone membership perspective," MPRA Paper 3906, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  2. Paul Hallwood & Ronald MacDonald, 2008. "International Money and Finance," Working papers 2008-02, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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