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Nonparametric Extrema Analysis in Time Series for Envelope Extraction, Peak Detection and Clustering

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  • Kaan Gokcesu
  • Hakan Gokcesu

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a nonparametric approach that can be used in envelope extraction, peak-burst detection and clustering in time series. Our problem formalization results in a naturally defined splitting/forking of the time series. With a possibly hierarchical implementation, it can be used for various applications in machine learning, signal processing and mathematical finance. From an incoming input signal, our iterative procedure sequentially creates two signals (one upper bounding and one lower bounding signal) by minimizing the cumulative $L_1$ drift. We show that a solution can be efficiently calculated by use of a Viterbi-like path tracking algorithm together with an optimal elimination rule. We consider many interesting settings, where our algorithm has near-linear time complexities.

Suggested Citation

  • Kaan Gokcesu & Hakan Gokcesu, 2021. "Nonparametric Extrema Analysis in Time Series for Envelope Extraction, Peak Detection and Clustering," Papers 2109.02082, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2109.02082
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hall, Peter & Peng, Liang & Yao, Qiwei, 2002. "Moving-maximum models for extrema of time series," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 6084, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Treynor, Jack L & Ferguson, Robert, 1985. "In Defense of Technical Analysis," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 40(3), pages 757-773, July.
    3. Brock, William & Lakonishok, Josef & LeBaron, Blake, 1992. "Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(5), pages 1731-1764, December.
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