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Il dibattito su dignità ed efficacia dell'analisi tecnica nell'economia finanziaria

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Author Info
Alessandro Beber
Abstract

Lo studio e l'interpretazione del comportamento manifestato dai mercati finanziari non risulta compatibile con i modelli di mercato proposti dall'economia finanziaria. In quanto segue, attraverso una rassegna del dibattito teorico e delle verifiche empiriche, si illustrerà come l'approccio operativo dell'analista tecnico possa fornire promettenti spunti interpretativi, con particolare riferimento alla presenza di elementi di non linearità e di cambio di regime nelle quotazioni

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File URL: http://repec.cs.unitn.it/AL/Doc/003.pdf
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Paper provided by Department of Computer and Management Sciences, University of Trento, Italy in its series Alea Tech Reports with number 003.

Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML (with abstract), plain text (with abstract), BibTeX, RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite), ReDIF
Length: 36 pages
Date of creation: Mar 1999
Date of revision: 14 Jun 2008
Handle: RePEc:trt:aleatr:003

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Goldberg, Michael & Schulmeister, Stephen, 1988. "Technical Analysis And Stock Market Efficiency," Working Papers 88-21, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University. [Downloadable!]
  2. Sweeney, Richard J, 1986. " Beating the Foreign Exchange Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 41(1), pages 163-82, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. repec:att:wimass:199118 is not listed on IDEAS
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  5. Cheng, Pao L & Deets, M King, 1971. "Portfolio Returns and the Random Walk Theory," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 26(1), pages 11-30, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Lukac, Louis P & Brorsen, B Wade & Irwin, Scott H, 1988. "A Test of Futures Market Disequilibrium Using Twelve Different Technical Trading Systems," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 20(5), pages 623-39, May.
  7. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Neely, Christopher & Weller, Paul & Dittmar, Rob, 1997. "Is Technical Analysis in the Foreign Exchange Market Profitable? A Genetic Programming Approach," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 32(04), pages 405-426, December. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  9. Jensen, Michael C., 1978. "Some anomalous evidence regarding market efficiency," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 6(2-3), pages 95-101. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Frankel, Jeffrey A & Froot, Kenneth A, 1990. "Chartists, Fundamentalists, and Trading in the Foreign Exchange Market," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 80(2), pages 181-85, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Blake LeBaron, 1996. "Technical Trading Rule Profitability and Foreign Exchange Intervention," NBER Working Papers 5505, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  12. Taylor, Stephen J, 1992. "Rewards Available to Currency Futures Speculators: Compensation for Risk or Evidence of Inefficient Pricing?," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 0(0), pages 105-16, Supplemen.
  13. Sweeney, Richard J., 1988. "Some New Filter Rule Tests: Methods and Results," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(03), pages 285-300, September. [Downloadable!]
  14. Blake LeBaron, . "Do Moving Average Trading Rule Results Imply Nonlinearities in Foreign Exchange?," Working papers _005, University of Wisconsin - Madison. [Downloadable!]
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  17. Mark J Ready, 2002. "Profits from Technical Trading Rules," Financial Management, Financial Management Association, vol. 31(3), Fall.
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  19. Brock, William & Lakonishok, Josef & LeBaron, Blake, 1992. " Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(5), pages 1731-64, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  20. Blake LeBaron, . "Technical Trading Rules and Regime Shifts in Foreign Exchange," Working papers _007, University of Wisconsin - Madison. [Downloadable!]
  21. Jeffrey A. Frankel & Andrew K. Rose, 1994. "A Survey of Empirical Research on Nominal Exchange Rates," NBER Working Papers 4865, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  22. Rogalski, Richard J, 1978. "The Dependence of Prices and Volume," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 60(2), pages 268-74, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  23. Stephen J. Brown & William N. Goetzmann & Alok Kumar, 2004. "The Dow Theory: William Peter Hamilton's Track Record Re-considered," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm30, Yale School of Management. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Flavio Bazzana & Francesca Debortoli, 2002. "Il rischio sistemico in finanza: una rassegna dei recenti contributi in letteratura," Alea Tech Reports 017, Department of Computer and Management Sciences, University of Trento, Italy, revised 14 Jun 2008. [Downloadable!]
  2. Mario Benassi, 1997. "Spin-offs e grandi imprese: il caso Herox," Quaderni DISA 005, Department of Computer and Management Sciences, University of Trento, Italy.
  3. Franco Molinari, 1998. "Investiment strategies, linear pricing measures and the law of one price," Quaderni DISA 007, Department of Computer and Management Sciences, University of Trento, Italy.
  4. Luca Erzegovesi, 1999. "Rischio e incertezza in finanza: classificazione e logiche di gestione," Alea Tech Reports 006, Department of Computer and Management Sciences, University of Trento, Italy, revised 14 Jun 2008. [Downloadable!]
  5. A. Marchi & Luisa Mich, 1998. "Un modello per l'analisi e valutazione dei siti web: applicazione al sito del consorzio Dolomiti Superski," Quaderni DISA 011, Department of Computer and Management Sciences, University of Trento, Italy.
  6. Luca Erzegovesi, 2002. "VaR and Liquidity Risk.Impact on Market Behaviour and Measurement Issues," Alea Tech Reports 014, Department of Computer and Management Sciences, University of Trento, Italy, revised 14 Jun 2008. [Downloadable!]
  7. Gianni Degasperi, 1999. "La dinamica delle crisi finanziarie: i modelli di Minsky e Kindleberger," Alea Tech Reports 005, Department of Computer and Management Sciences, University of Trento, Italy, revised 14 Jun 2008. [Downloadable!]
  8. Stefano Benati & M. Tavernini, 1998. "A new lagrangean heuristic for the generalized assignment problem," Quaderni DISA 014, Department of Computer and Management Sciences, University of Trento, Italy.
  9. Flavio Bazzana, 2001. "I modelli interni per la valutazione del rischio di mercato secondo l'approccio del Value at Risk," Alea Tech Reports 011, Department of Computer and Management Sciences, University of Trento, Italy, revised 14 Jun 2008. [Downloadable!]
  10. Gianni Degasperi & Luca Erzegovesi, 1999. "I mercati finanziari come sistemi complessi: il modello di Vaga," Alea Tech Reports 007, Department of Computer and Management Sciences, University of Trento, Italy, revised 14 Jun 2008. [Downloadable!]
  11. Loris Gaio & Yuriy M. Kaniovskyi & Enrico Zaninotto, 1999. "On bubbling dynamics generated bya stochastic model of herd behavior," Quaderni DISA 017, Department of Computer and Management Sciences, University of Trento, Italy.
    Other versions:
  12. Marco Bee & Giuseppe Espa, 1998. "Metodi statistici per l'interpolazione areale: l'algoritmo EM per dati continui," Quaderni DISA 006, Department of Computer and Management Sciences, University of Trento, Italy.
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