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Optimal Equity Glidepaths in Retirement

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  • Christopher J. Rook

Abstract

Dynamic retirement glidepaths evolve over time based on some measure such as the retiree's funded status or current market valuations. Conversely, static glidepaths are fixed at a starting point and selected under the assumption that they will not change. In practice, new static glidepaths may be derived periodically making them more flexible. The optimal static retirement glidepath would be the one that performs better than all others with respect to some metric. When systematic withdrawals are made from a retirement portfolio, glidepaths are often assessed via the probability of ruin (or success). Our goal here is to derive the optimal static glidepath with respect to this metric. It is a result new to the literature and the shape will be of special interest to retirees, financial advisors, retirement researchers, and target-date fund providers.

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  • Christopher J. Rook, 2015. "Optimal Equity Glidepaths in Retirement," Papers 1506.08400, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1506.08400
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kristen Moore & Virginia Young, 2006. "Optimal and Simple, Nearly Optimal Rules for Minimizing the Probability Of Financial Ruin in Retirement," North American Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(4), pages 145-161.
    2. Bayraktar, Erhan & Young, Virginia R., 2016. "Optimally investing to reach a bequest goal," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 1-10.
    3. Harry Markowitz, 1952. "Portfolio Selection," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 7(1), pages 77-91, March.
    4. Paul A. Samuelson, 2011. "Lifetime Portfolio Selection by Dynamic Stochastic Programming," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Leonard C MacLean & Edward O Thorp & William T Ziemba (ed.), THE KELLY CAPITAL GROWTH INVESTMENT CRITERION THEORY and PRACTICE, chapter 31, pages 465-472, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    5. Virginia Young, 2004. "Optimal Investment Strategy to Minimize the Probability of Lifetime Ruin," North American Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(4), pages 106-126.
    6. Merton, Robert C, 1969. "Lifetime Portfolio Selection under Uncertainty: The Continuous-Time Case," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 51(3), pages 247-257, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Christopher J. Rook, 2017. "Multivariate Density Modeling for Retirement Finance," Papers 1709.04070, arXiv.org.

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