IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finana/v84y2022ics1057521922003210.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Dynamic trading with uncertain exit time and transaction costs in a general Markov market

Author

Listed:
  • Yao, Haixiang
  • Li, Danping
  • Wu, Huiling

Abstract

This paper investigates a dynamic trading problem with transaction cost and uncertain exit time in a general Markov market, where the mean vector and covariance matrix of returns depend on the states of the stochastic market, and the market state is regime switching in a time varying state set. Following the framework proposed by Gârleanu and Pedersen (2013), the investor maximizes his or her multi-period mean–variance utility, net of quadratic transaction costs capturing the linear price impact where trades lead to temporary linear changes in prices. The explicit expression for the optimal strategy is derived by using matrix theory technique and dynamic programming approach. Finally, numerical examples are provided to study the effects of transition cost and exit probability on the wealth process, the trading strategy, turnover rate and the total transaction cost.

Suggested Citation

  • Yao, Haixiang & Li, Danping & Wu, Huiling, 2022. "Dynamic trading with uncertain exit time and transaction costs in a general Markov market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:84:y:2022:i:c:s1057521922003210
    DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2022.102371
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1057521922003210
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.irfa.2022.102371?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Andrew Ang & Geert Bekaert, 2002. "International Asset Allocation With Regime Shifts," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 15(4), pages 1137-1187.
    2. Mei, Xiaoling & Nogales, Francisco J., 2018. "Portfolio selection with proportional transaction costs and predictability," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 131-151.
    3. Nicolae Gârleanu & Lasse Heje Pedersen, 2013. "Dynamic Trading with Predictable Returns and Transaction Costs," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 68(6), pages 2309-2340, December.
    4. Mei, Xiaoling & DeMiguel, Victor & Nogales, Francisco J., 2016. "Multiperiod portfolio optimization with multiple risky assets and general transaction costs," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 108-120.
    5. Lynch, Anthony W. & Tan, Sinan, 2010. "Multiple Risky Assets, Transaction Costs, and Return Predictability: Allocation Rules and Implications for U.S. Investors," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 45(4), pages 1015-1053, August.
    6. Celikyurt, U. & Ozekici, S., 2007. "Multiperiod portfolio optimization models in stochastic markets using the mean-variance approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 179(1), pages 186-202, May.
    7. Jérome Detemple & Marcel Rindisbacher, 2010. "Dynamic Asset Allocation: Portfolio Decomposition Formula and Applications," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 23(1), pages 25-100, January.
    8. David B. Brown & James E. Smith, 2011. "Dynamic Portfolio Optimization with Transaction Costs: Heuristics and Dual Bounds," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 57(10), pages 1752-1770, October.
    9. Zhang, Jinqing & Jin, Zeyu & An, Yunbi, 2017. "Dynamic portfolio optimization with ambiguity aversion," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 95-109.
    10. Çanakoglu, Ethem & Özekici, Süleyman, 2010. "Portfolio selection in stochastic markets with HARA utility functions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 201(2), pages 520-536, March.
    11. DeMiguel, Victor & Martín-Utrera, Alberto & Nogales, Francisco J., 2015. "Parameter Uncertainty in Multiperiod Portfolio Optimization with Transaction Costs," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 50(6), pages 1443-1471, December.
    12. Harry Markowitz, 1952. "Portfolio Selection," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 7(1), pages 77-91, March.
    13. Andrew Ang & Allan Timmermann, 2012. "Regime Changes and Financial Markets," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 4(1), pages 313-337, October.
    14. Duan Li & Wan‐Lung Ng, 2000. "Optimal Dynamic Portfolio Selection: Multiperiod Mean‐Variance Formulation," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 10(3), pages 387-406, July.
    15. Paul A. Samuelson, 2011. "Lifetime Portfolio Selection by Dynamic Stochastic Programming," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Leonard C MacLean & Edward O Thorp & William T Ziemba (ed.), THE KELLY CAPITAL GROWTH INVESTMENT CRITERION THEORY and PRACTICE, chapter 31, pages 465-472, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    16. Pirvu, Traian A. & Zhang, Huayue, 2012. "Optimal investment, consumption and life insurance under mean-reverting returns: The complete market solution," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 303-309.
    17. Kyle, Albert S, 1985. "Continuous Auctions and Insider Trading," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 53(6), pages 1315-1335, November.
    18. LeRoy,Stephen F. & Werner,Jan, 2014. "Principles of Financial Economics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781107024120, February.
    19. Ma, Guiyuan & Siu, Chi Chung & Zhu, Song-Ping, 2019. "Dynamic portfolio choice with return predictability and transaction costs," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 278(3), pages 976-988.
    20. Menahem E. Yaari, 1965. "Uncertain Lifetime, Life Insurance, and the Theory of the Consumer," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 32(2), pages 137-150.
    21. George M. Constantinides, 2005. "Capital Market Equilibrium with Transaction Costs," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Sudipto Bhattacharya & George M Constantinides (ed.), Theory Of Valuation, chapter 7, pages 207-227, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    22. Moallemi, Ciamac C. & SaÄŸlam, Mehmet, 2017. "Dynamic Portfolio Choice with Linear Rebalancing Rules," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 52(3), pages 1247-1278, June.
    23. M. H. A. Davis & A. R. Norman, 1990. "Portfolio Selection with Transaction Costs," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 15(4), pages 676-713, November.
    24. Christoph Hambel & Holger Kraft & Lorenz S. Schendel & Mogens Steffensen, 2017. "Life Insurance Demand Under Health Shock Risk," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 84(4), pages 1171-1202, December.
    25. Ko‐Lun Kung & Shang‐Yin Yang, 2020. "Optimal Consumption and Investment Problem Incorporating Housing and Life Insurance Decisions: The Continuous Time Case," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 87(1), pages 143-171, March.
    26. Zhongfei Li & Ken Seng Tan & Hailiang Yang, 2008. "Multiperiod Optimal Investment-Consumption Strategies with Mortality Risk and Environment Uncertainty," North American Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(1), pages 47-64.
    27. Paul Glasserman & Xingbo Xu, 2013. "Robust Portfolio Control with Stochastic Factor Dynamics," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 61(4), pages 874-893, August.
    28. George M. Constantinides, 1979. "Multiperiod Consumption and Investment Behavior with Convex Transactions Costs," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 25(11), pages 1127-1137, November.
    29. Merton, Robert C, 1969. "Lifetime Portfolio Selection under Uncertainty: The Continuous-Time Case," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 51(3), pages 247-257, August.
    30. Gârleanu, Nicolae & Pedersen, Lasse Heje, 2016. "Dynamic portfolio choice with frictions," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 487-516.
    31. Pliska, Stanley R. & Ye, Jinchun, 2007. "Optimal life insurance purchase and consumption/investment under uncertain lifetime," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 1307-1319, May.
    32. Jun Liu, 2007. "Portfolio Selection in Stochastic Environments," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 20(1), pages 1-39, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ma, Guiyuan & Siu, Chi Chung & Zhu, Song-Ping, 2019. "Dynamic portfolio choice with return predictability and transaction costs," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 278(3), pages 976-988.
    2. Ma, Guiyuan & Siu, Chi Chung & Zhu, Song-Ping, 2022. "Portfolio choice with return predictability and small trading frictions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    3. Collin-Dufresne, Pierre & Daniel, Kent & Sağlam, Mehmet, 2020. "Liquidity regimes and optimal dynamic asset allocation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(2), pages 379-406.
    4. Ma, Guiyuan & Siu, Chi Chung & Zhu, Song-Ping, 2020. "Optimal investment and consumption with return predictability and execution costs," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 408-419.
    5. Alain Bensoussan & Guiyuan Ma & Chi Chung Siu & Sheung Chi Phillip Yam, 2022. "Dynamic mean–variance problem with frictions," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 26(2), pages 267-300, April.
    6. Mei, Xiaoling & Nogales, Francisco J., 2018. "Portfolio selection with proportional transaction costs and predictability," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 131-151.
    7. Shi, Yun, 2020. "Timing Idiosyncratic Volatility and Dynamic Asset Allocation," SocArXiv 9kber, Center for Open Science.
    8. Davi Valladão & Thuener Silva & Marcus Poggi, 2019. "Time-consistent risk-constrained dynamic portfolio optimization with transactional costs and time-dependent returns," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 282(1), pages 379-405, November.
    9. Mei, Xiaoling & Nogales Martín, Francisco Javier, 2015. "Portfolio selection with proportional transaction costs and predictability," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws1521, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    10. Buckley, Winston S. & Brown, Garfield O. & Marshall, Mario, 2012. "A mispricing model of stocks under asymmetric information," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 221(3), pages 584-592.
    11. Mei, Xiaoling & DeMiguel, Victor & Nogales, Francisco J., 2016. "Multiperiod portfolio optimization with multiple risky assets and general transaction costs," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 108-120.
    12. David B. Brown & James E. Smith, 2011. "Dynamic Portfolio Optimization with Transaction Costs: Heuristics and Dual Bounds," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 57(10), pages 1752-1770, October.
    13. Rongju Zhang & Nicolas Langren'e & Yu Tian & Zili Zhu & Fima Klebaner & Kais Hamza, 2016. "Dynamic portfolio optimization with liquidity cost and market impact: a simulation-and-regression approach," Papers 1610.07694, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2019.
    14. Wang, Jianshen & Taylor, Nick, 2018. "A comparison of static and dynamic portfolio policies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 111-127.
    15. Yan, Tingjin & Han, Jinhui & Ma, Guiyuan & Siu, Chi Chung, 2023. "Dynamic asset-liability management with frictions," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 57-83.
    16. Gârleanu, Nicolae & Pedersen, Lasse Heje, 2016. "Dynamic portfolio choice with frictions," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 487-516.
    17. Miguel, Víctor de & Mei, Xiaoling & Nogales, Francisco J., 2013. "Multiperiod portfolio selection with transaction and market-impact costs," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws131615, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    18. Jan Kallsen & Johannes Muhle-Karbe, 2013. "The General Structure of Optimal Investment and Consumption with Small Transaction Costs," Papers 1303.3148, arXiv.org, revised May 2015.
    19. Yao, Haixiang & Huang, Jinbo & Li, Yong & Humphrey, Jacquelyn E., 2021. "A general approach to smooth and convex portfolio optimization using lower partial moments," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    20. Hautsch, Nikolaus & Voigt, Stefan, 2019. "Large-scale portfolio allocation under transaction costs and model uncertainty," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 221-240.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:84:y:2022:i:c:s1057521922003210. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/620166 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.