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Climate Change, Agriculture, And Developing Economies

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  • Winters, Paul C.
  • Murgai, Rinku
  • Sadoulet, Elisabeth
  • de Janvry, Alain

Abstract

The impact of global climate change on the less developed countries is analyzed using archetype CGE-multimarket models for three economies representing the poor cereal importing nations of Africa, Asia, and Latin America. The objective is to predict the differential impact of climate change across continents on macroeconomic variables, sectoral responses, and household income and food consumption effects, particularly among the poorest. Results show that all these countries will lose and that their agricultural outputs will fall, but that Africa will be by far the most severely affected. Countervailing policies to mitigate negative effects should focus on the production of food crops in Africa and of export crops in Latin America and Asia.

Suggested Citation

  • Winters, Paul C. & Murgai, Rinku & Sadoulet, Elisabeth & de Janvry, Alain, 1996. "Climate Change, Agriculture, And Developing Economies," CUDARE Working Papers 25079, University of California, Berkeley, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:ucbecw:25079
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.25079
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Pervez Zamurrad Janjua & Ghulam Samad & Nazakat Ullah Khan, 2010. "Impact of Climate Change on Wheat Production: A Case Study of Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 49(4), pages 799-822.
    2. Aizhen Li & Boris E. Bravo-Ureta & David K. Okello & Carl M. Deom & Naveen Puppala, 2013. "Groundnut Production and Climatic Variability: Evidence from Uganda," Working Papers 17, University of Connecticut, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Charles J. Zwick Center for Food and Resource Policy.
    3. Muamba, Francis & Kraybill, David S., 2010. "Weather Vulnerability, Climate Change, and Food Security in Mt. Kilimanjaro," 2010 Annual Meeting, July 25-27, 2010, Denver, Colorado 61655, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

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