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Monte-Carlo Simulation and Stochastic Programming in Real Options Valuation: the Case of Perennial Energy Crop Cultivation

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  • Kostrova, Alisa
  • Britz, Wolfgang
  • Djanibekov, Utkur
  • Finger, Robert

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  • Kostrova, Alisa & Britz, Wolfgang & Djanibekov, Utkur & Finger, Robert, 2016. "Monte-Carlo Simulation and Stochastic Programming in Real Options Valuation: the Case of Perennial Energy Crop Cultivation," Discussion Papers 250253, University of Bonn, Institute for Food and Resource Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:ubfred:250253
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.250253
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    1. Alonso-Ayuso, Antonio & Carvallo, Felipe & Escudero, Laureano F. & Guignard, Monique & Pi, Jiaxing & Puranmalka, Raghav & Weintraub, Andrés, 2014. "Medium range optimization of copper extraction planning under uncertainty in future copper prices," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 233(3), pages 711-726.
    2. Luis M. Abadie & José M. Chamorro, 2009. "Monte Carlo valuation of natural gas investments," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 18(1), pages 10-22, January.
    3. Wilhelm Brandes & Hans-Joachim Budde & Eberhard Sperling, 1980. "A computerised planning method for risky investments," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 7(2), pages 147-175.
    4. G. Consigli & M. Dempster, 1998. "Dynamic stochastic programmingfor asset-liability management," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 81(0), pages 131-162, June.
    5. M.A.H. Dempster & R.T. Thompson, 1999. "EVPI‐based importance sampling solution proceduresfor multistage stochastic linear programmeson parallel MIMD architectures," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 90(0), pages 161-184, January.
    6. repec:dau:papers:123456789/4273 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Salvatore Di Falco & Charles Perrings, 2003. "Crop Genetic Diversity, Productivity and Stability of Agroecosystems. A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 50(2), pages 207-216, May.
    8. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-654, May-June.
    9. Luiz Brandão & James Dyer, 2005. "Decision Analysis and Real Options: A Discrete Time Approach to Real Option Valuation," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 135(1), pages 21-39, March.
    10. Flaten, O. & Lien, G., 2007. "Stochastic utility-efficient programming of organic dairy farms," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 181(3), pages 1574-1583, September.
    11. Bartolini, Fabio & Viaggi, Davide, 2012. "An analysis of policy scenario effects on the adoption of energy production on the farm: A case study in Emilia–Romagna (Italy)," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 454-464.
    12. Jitka Dupačová & Giorgio Consigli & Stein Wallace, 2000. "Scenarios for Multistage Stochastic Programs," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 100(1), pages 25-53, December.
    13. Di Corato, Luca & Gazheli, Ardjan & Lagerkvist, Carl-Johan, 2013. "Investing in energy forestry under uncertainty," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 56-64.
    14. Cox, John C. & Ross, Stephen A. & Rubinstein, Mark, 1979. "Option pricing: A simplified approach," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 229-263, September.
    15. Boyle, Phelim P., 1977. "Options: A Monte Carlo approach," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 4(3), pages 323-338, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Spiegel, Alisa & Britz, Wolfgang & Djanibekov, Utkur & Finger, Robert, 2017. "Policy analysis of perennial energy crops cultivation at the farm level: the case of short rotation coppice in Germany," 57th Annual Conference, Weihenstephan, Germany, September 13-15, 2017 261989, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA).
    2. Spiegel, Alisa & Britz, Wolfgang & Djanibekov, Utkur & Finger, Robert, 2017. "Policy analysis of perennial energy crops cultivation at the farm level: the case of short rotation coppice (SRC) in Germany," Discussion Papers 263448, University of Bonn, Institute for Food and Resource Economics.
    3. Pimentel, Pedro & Couto, Gualter & Tavares, André & Oliveira, André, 2021. "The impacts of real options analysis on EU co-financing policy: the case of Ponta Delgada Port in the Azores," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).

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