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Structural Gravity Estimation & Agriculture

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  • Prehn, Soren
  • Brummer, Bernhard
  • Glauben, Thomas
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    Abstract

    Recently, discussion about the appropriate estimation of gravity trade models has started in agriculture. Here, we are going to review recent developments in the literature. It appears that fixed effects Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood is not only the only consistent estimator [Santos Silva and Tenreyro, 2006] but also it already allows for a structural fit [Fally, 2012]. Fixed effects in conjunction with the adding-up property of Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood - which has been so far neglected - can be harnessed to directly deduce multilateral resistance indexes (i.e. general equilibrium effects) from reduced-form estimation. This innovation made by Fally will ease comparative statics and incidence analysis, making Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood even more preferable in practice.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium in its series 2012: New Rules of Trade?, December 2012, San Diego, California with number 142765.

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    Date of creation: 2012
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    Handle: RePEc:ags:iat12m:142765

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    Keywords: Agricultural and Food Policy; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods;

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    1. Kevin E. Staub & Rainer Winkelmann, 2013. "Consistent Estimation Of Zero‐Inflated Count Models," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(6), pages 673-686, 06.
    2. James E. Anderson & Eric van Wincoop, 2001. "Gravity with Gravitas: A Solution to the Border Puzzle," NBER Working Papers 8079, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Santos Silva, Joao & Tenreyro, Silvana, 2005. "The Log of Gravity," CEPR Discussion Papers 5311, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. repec:hal:cesptp:halshs-00535594 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. James E. Anderson & Yoto V. Yotov, 2008. "The Changing Incidence of Geography," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 698, Boston College Department of Economics.
    6. James E. Anderson & Yoto V. Yotov, 2012. "Gold Standard Gravity," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 795, Boston College Department of Economics.
    7. Santos Silva, J.M.C. & Tenreyro, Silvana, 2011. "Further simulation evidence on the performance of the Poisson pseudo-maximum likelihood estimator," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 112(2), pages 220-222, August.
    8. Anderson, James & Milot, Catherine & Yotov, Yoto, 2012. "How Much Does Geography Deflect Services Trade?," School of Economics Working Paper Series 2012-5, LeBow College of Business, Drexel University.
    9. Clément Bosquet & Hervé Boulhol, 2010. "Scale-dependence of the Negative Binomial Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood Estimator," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 10092, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
    10. Philippidis, George & Resano-Ezcaray, Helena & Sanjuan-Lopez, Ana Isabel, 2011. "Capturing zero trade values in gravity equations of trade: A disaggregated sectoral analysis," 2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland 114760, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    11. Martijn Burger & Frank van Oort & Gert-Jan Linders, 2009. "On the Specification of the Gravity Model of Trade: Zeros, Excess Zeros and Zero-inflated Estimation," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(2), pages 167-190.
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