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Climate change impacts on European agriculture: a multi model perspective

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  • Frank, Stefan
  • Witzke, Heinz-Peter
  • Zimmermann, Andrea
  • Havlík, Petr
  • Ciaian, Pavel

Abstract

We present and integrated supply and demand side analysis of climate change impacts on the agricultural sector from a European perspective based on a joint application of two European focused global partial equilibrium models. Results show that climate change would considerably affect agricultural supply and demand quantities as well as producer prices. Nevertheless, adaptation mechanism such as reallocation of production or intensification can help to absorb the initial climate shock so that impacts on the demand side are eventually significantly smaller. Differences between the two models applied are negligible when comparing results to the output spectrum from other global partial and general equilibrium models running the same scenarios.

Suggested Citation

  • Frank, Stefan & Witzke, Heinz-Peter & Zimmermann, Andrea & Havlík, Petr & Ciaian, Pavel, 2014. "Climate change impacts on European agriculture: a multi model perspective," 2014 International Congress, August 26-29, 2014, Ljubljana, Slovenia 183025, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:eaae14:183025
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.183025
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    Cited by:

    1. Roberto Pasqualino & Irene Monasterolo & Aled Jones, 2019. "An Integrated Global Food and Energy Security System Dynamics Model for Addressing Systemic Risk," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(14), pages 1-20, July.
    2. Martinez, Pilar & Blanco, Maria & Van Doorslaer, Benjamin & Ramos, Fabien & Stanca, Lucian, 2015. "What role does climate change play in agricultural market uncertainty? An integrated assessment taking into account market-driven adjustments," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 212230, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    3. Bakhtmina Zia & Muhammad Rafiq & Shahab E. Saqib & Muhammad Atiq, 2022. "Agricultural Market Competitiveness in the Context of Climate Change: A Systematic Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-22, March.
    4. Fernández, Francisco J. & Blanco, Maria, 2014. "Integration of biophysical and agro-economic models to assess the economic effects of climate change on agriculture: A review of global and EU regional approaches," Economics Discussion Papers 2014-48, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    5. Fernández, Francisco J. & Blanco, Maria, 2015. "Modelling the economic impacts of climate change on global and European agriculture: Review of economic structural approaches," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 9, pages 1-53.

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