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Real Exchange Rates and Productivity: Evidence from Asia

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  • VIKAS KAKKAR
  • ISABEL YAN

Abstract

This paper examines a productivity‐based explanation of the long‐run real exchange rate movements of six Asian economies. Using industry level data, we construct total factor productivities (TFPs) for the tradable and nontradable sectors. We find that (i) within each country the relative price of nontradable goods is cointegrated with the sectoral TFP differential, and (ii) the real exchange rates are cointegrated with the home and foreign sectoral TFP differentials. Using the predicted real exchange rate as a measure of the “long‐run equilibrium,” we find that most Asian economies’ real exchange rates were overvalued before the Asian Financial Crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Vikas Kakkar & Isabel Yan, 2012. "Real Exchange Rates and Productivity: Evidence from Asia," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(2‐3), pages 301-322, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:jmoncb:v:44:y:2012:i:2-3:p:301-322
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1538-4616.2011.00488.x
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    3. Maryam Ishaq & Ghulam Ghouse & Muhammad Ishaq Bhatti, 2022. "Another Prospective on Real Exchange Rate and the Traded Goods Prices: Revisiting Balassa–Samuelson Hypothesis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-17, June.

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