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Real Exchange Rates and Productivity: Evidence from Asia

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  • VIKAS KAKKAR
  • ISABEL YAN

Abstract

This paper examines a productivity-based explanation of the long run real exchange rate movements of six Asian economies. Using industry level data, we construct total factor productivities (TFPs) for the tradable and nontradable sectors. We find that (a) within each country the relative price of nontradable goods is cointegrated with the sectoral TFP differential, and (b) the real exchange rates are cointegrated with the home and foreign sectoral TFP differentials. Using the predicted real exchange rate as a measure of the "long-run equilibrium", we find that most Asian economies�real exchange rates are overvalued before the Asian Financial Crisis.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.

Volume (Year): 44 (2012)
Issue (Month): (03)
Pages: 301-322

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Handle: RePEc:mcb:jmoncb:v:44:y:2012:i::p:301-322

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Web page: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0022-2879

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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Chong, Terence Tai Leung & Yan, Isabel K., 2014. "Estimating and Testing Threshold Regression Models with Multiple Threshold Variables," MPRA Paper 54732, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  2. Fischer, Christoph & Hossfeld, Oliver, 2014. "A consistent set of multilateral productivity approach-based indicators of price competitiveness," Discussion Papers 10/2014, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
  3. Kakkar, Vikas & Yan, Isabel, 2014. "Determinants of real exchange rates: An empirical investigation," BOFIT Discussion Papers 1/2014, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
  4. Maurice Obstfeld, 2009. "Time of Troubles: The Yen and Japan's Economy, 1985-2008," NBER Working Papers 14816, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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