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How do central banks make decisions?

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  • Francisco Ruge‐Murcia

Abstract

This paper studies decision making by the governing council of the Bank of Canada under two alternative protocols. The protocols are: (i) the median model and (ii) the inclusive‐voting model due to Riboni and Ruge‐Murcia (2020), where the chair and the median share proposal power. Results show that the data favour a version of the inclusive‐voting model where the chair of the committee is moderately inclusive and which endogenously generates the consensus outcome in Riboni and Ruge‐Murcia (2010). Decision‐making frictions are empirically important in the formulation of monetary policy, and the selected policy is the outcome of a compromise between committee members. Comment les banques centrales prennent‐elles des décisions? Cet article étudie le processus décisionnel du Conseil de direction de la Banque du Canada selon deux protocoles différents. Les protocoles sont (i) le modèle de médiateur et (ii) le modèle inclusif avec vote de Riboni et Ruge‐Murcia (2020) où le président et le médiateur se partagent le pouvoir de proposition. Les résultats montrent que les données favorisent une version du modèle inclusif avec vote où le président du comité est modérément inclusif ce qui crée de façon endogène le résultat de consensus dans Riboni et Ruge‐Murcia (2010). Les frictions décisionnelles sont importantes sur le plan empirique dans la formulation de la politique monétaire, et la politique retenue est le résultat d'un compromis entre les membres du comité.

Suggested Citation

  • Francisco Ruge‐Murcia, 2022. "How do central banks make decisions?," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 55(4), pages 1643-1670, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:canjec:v:55:y:2022:i:4:p:1643-1670
    DOI: 10.1111/caje.12622
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