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La relation croissance-chômage en Tunisie : validation de la spécification non linéaire de la loi d’Okun

Author

Listed:
  • Abdessalem GOUIDER

    (College of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Al-Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University (IMSIU), Saudi Arabia and Gabes University (Tunisia))

  • Ridha NOUIRA

    (Unité de Recherche EAS, Université de Mahdia, FSEG de Mahdia, Université de Monastir)

  • Faouzi SBOUI

    (Unité de Recherche MOfid, Université de Sousse, FSEG de Mahdia, Université de Monastir)

Abstract

Ce travail propose de tester pour l'économie tunisienne la validité de la relation d’Okun appliquée à des données annuelles de PIB réel et de chômage couvrant la période 1980-2015. Il est vérifié l’existence d’une relation non linéaire entre la croissance et le chô-mage : le chômage cyclique est plus sensible aux variations du PIB (output gap) en phases de récession qu’en phases d’expansion. L’analyse de la relation de causalité non linéaire entre le chômage et la croissance montre une causalité significative dans un seul sens allant de l’output gap au chômage.

Suggested Citation

  • Abdessalem GOUIDER & Ridha NOUIRA & Faouzi SBOUI, 2018. "La relation croissance-chômage en Tunisie : validation de la spécification non linéaire de la loi d’Okun," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 47, pages 27-41.
    • Handle: RePEc:tou:journl:v:47:y:2018:p:27-41
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    3. Neifar, Malika, 2020. "Cyclical Output, Cyclical Unemployment, and augmented Okun's Law in MENA zone," MPRA Paper 98953, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Chômage ; Loi d’Okun ; Modèle NARDL ; Tunisie;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C49 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Other
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity

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