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L‘intensité en emploi de la croissance en Côte d’Ivoire en période d’expansion et en période de contraction

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  • Coffie Francis José N'GUESSAN

    (Université Félix Houphouët-Boigny de Cocody, Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire)

Abstract

L’objectif de cette étude est d’estimer l’intensité en emploi de la croissance en Côte d’Ivoire à partir de données provenant de 42 branches d’activités sur la période 1996-2016. Les résultats indiquent que les branches d’activités partagent la même relation de long terme entre le niveau de l’emploi et la croissance de la production. Mais, cette rela-tion n’est pas linéaire. Les périodes de baisse de l’activité économique ont un impact plus important sur le niveau de l’emploi que les périodes de hausse de l’activité économique. Pour mieux apprécier l’utilité des résultats pour la politique publique, les coefficients estimés à partir du modèle ARDL ont servi à projeter le taux de chômage et son évolution en fonction du cadrage macroéconomique après 2017.

Suggested Citation

  • Coffie Francis José N'GUESSAN, 2022. "L‘intensité en emploi de la croissance en Côte d’Ivoire en période d’expansion et en période de contraction," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 55, pages 39-53.
    • Handle: RePEc:tou:journl:v:55:y:2022:p:39-53
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Croissance économique ; Emploi ; Relation d’Okun ; Données de Panel ; Modèle NARDL ; Côte d’Ivoire;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • J2 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor

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