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Spillover Effect between the Regional and the National Housing Markets in the UK

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  • I-Chun Tsai

Abstract

T sai I-C. Spillover effect between the regional and the national housing markets in the UK, Regional Studies . This study uses regional and national data from the UK housing market to analyse the spillovers between these markets and to test whether a ripple effect exists in UK housing prices. Cross-market return spillovers are determined by performing spillover indices. An analysis of the direction and magnitude of return spillovers can be used to discriminate the transmission mechanism of information between the regional and the national housing markets over different areas and different time spans. Empirical findings indicate that the difference in housing prices between the northern and southern regions of the UK will increase each time a new financial crisis occurs.

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  • I-Chun Tsai, 2015. "Spillover Effect between the Regional and the National Housing Markets in the UK," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(12), pages 1957-1976, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:regstd:v:49:y:2015:i:12:p:1957-1976
    DOI: 10.1080/00343404.2014.883599
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    3. MaruÅ¡ka Vizek & NebojÅ¡a StojÄ ić & Josip Mikulić, 2023. "Spatial spillovers of tourism activity on housing prices: The case of Croatia," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(5), pages 1376-1390, August.
    4. Tsai, I-Chun & Chiang, Shu-Hen, 2019. "Exuberance and spillovers in housing markets: Evidence from first- and second-tier cities in China," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 75-86.
    5. Junjie Li & Li Zheng & Chunlu Liu & Zhifeng Shen, 2021. "Information Spillover Effects of Real Estate Markets: Evidence from Ten Metropolitan Cities in China," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-19, May.
    6. David Gray, 2020. "An international housing market in the British Isles: Evidence from business and medium-term cycles using a Friedman test," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 57(2), pages 307-322, February.
    7. Leeyoung Kim & Wonseok Seo, 2021. "Micro-Analysis of Price Spillover Effect among Regional Housing Submarkets in Korea: Evidence from the Seoul Metropolitan Area," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-21, August.
    8. Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Miller, Stephen M., 2024. "Estimating U.S. housing price network connectedness: Evidence from dynamic Elastic Net, Lasso, and ridge vector autoregressive models," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 349-362.
    9. Chien-Fu Chen & Shu-hen Chiang, 2020. "Time-varying spillovers among first-tier housing markets in China," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 57(4), pages 844-864, March.
    10. Michael Funke & Petar Mihaylovski & Adrian Wende, 2018. "Out of Sync Subnational Housing Markets and Macroprudential Policies," CESifo Working Paper Series 6887, CESifo.
    11. Dominik Blatt & Kausik Chaudhuri & Hans Manner, 2021. "Spillover in the UK Housing Market," Graz Economics Papers 2021-13, University of Graz, Department of Economics.
    12. Tsai, I-Chun, 2022. "Changes in social behavior and impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on regional housing markets: Independence and risk," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    13. Dayong Zhang & Qiang Ji & Wan-Li Zhao & Nicholas J Horsewood, 2021. "Regional housing price dependency in the UK: A dynamic network approach," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 58(5), pages 1014-1031, April.
    14. Nguyen, Thi Thu Ha & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Balli, Faruk & Balli, Hatice Ozer & Syed, Iqbal, 2021. "Information transmission between oil and housing markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    15. Oguzhan Cepni & Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "The Time-Varying Impact of Uncertainty Shocks on the Comovement of Regional Housing Prices of the United Kingdom," Working Papers 202168, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Chiang, Shu-hen & Chen, Chien-Fu, 2022. "From systematic to systemic risk among G7 members: Do the stock or real estate markets matter?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    17. Ellington, Michael & Fu, Xi & Zhu, Yunyi, 2023. "Real estate illiquidity and returns: A time-varying regional perspective," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 58-72.
    18. Qin Xiao, 2023. "Equilibrating ripple effect, disturbing information cascade effect and regional disparity – A perspective from China's tiered housing markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 858-875, January.
    19. JingJing (Justine) Wang & John S. Croucher, 2021. "Information linkages among National, NSW, VIC, and QLD real estate markets in Australia," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 61(2), pages 3207-3234, June.
    20. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Ioannis Chatziantoniou & David Gabauer, 2021. "A regional decomposition of US housing prices and volume: market dynamics and Portfolio diversification," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 66(2), pages 279-307, April.
    21. I-Chun Tsai, 2018. "The cause and outcomes of the ripple effect: housing prices and transaction volume," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 61(2), pages 351-373, September.
    22. Paraskevi Katsiampa & Kyriaki Begiazi, 2019. "An empirical analysis of the Scottish housing market by property type," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 66(4), pages 559-583, September.
    23. James E. Payne & Xiaojin Sun, 2023. "Time‐varying connectedness of metropolitan housing markets," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 51(2), pages 470-502, March.
    24. Tsai, I-Chun, 2019. "Relationships among regional housing markets: Evidence on adjustments of housing burden," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 309-318.

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