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Forecasting risk via realized GARCH, incorporating the realized range

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  • Richard Gerlach
  • Chao Wang

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  • Richard Gerlach & Chao Wang, 2016. "Forecasting risk via realized GARCH, incorporating the realized range," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(4), pages 501-511, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:quantf:v:16:y:2016:i:4:p:501-511
    DOI: 10.1080/14697688.2015.1079641
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    Cited by:

    1. Lazar, Emese & Xue, Xiaohan, 2020. "Forecasting risk measures using intraday data in a generalized autoregressive score framework," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1057-1072.
    2. Rice, Gregory & Wirjanto, Tony & Zhao, Yuqian, 2020. "Forecasting value at risk with intra-day return curves," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1023-1038.
    3. Zhengkun Li & Minh-Ngoc Tran & Chao Wang & Richard Gerlach & Junbin Gao, 2020. "A Bayesian Long Short-Term Memory Model for Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall Joint Forecasting," Papers 2001.08374, arXiv.org, revised May 2021.
    4. Shay Kee Tan & Kok Haur Ng & Jennifer So-Kuen Chan, 2022. "Predicting Returns, Volatilities and Correlations of Stock Indices Using Multivariate Conditional Autoregressive Range and Return Models," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-24, December.
    5. Chao Wang & Richard Gerlach, 2021. "A Bayesian realized threshold measurement GARCH framework for financial tail risk forecasting," Papers 2106.00288, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2022.
    6. Gerlach, Richard & Wang, Chao, 2020. "Semi-parametric dynamic asymmetric Laplace models for tail risk forecasting, incorporating realized measures," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 489-506.
    7. Meng, Xiaochun & Taylor, James W., 2018. "An approximate long-memory range-based approach for value at risk estimation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 377-388.
    8. Hoga, Yannick, 2021. "The uncertainty in extreme risk forecasts from covariate-augmented volatility models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 675-686.
    9. Chiranjit Dutta & Kara Karpman & Sumanta Basu & Nalini Ravishanker, 2023. "Review of Statistical Approaches for Modeling High-Frequency Trading Data," Sankhya B: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Springer;Indian Statistical Institute, vol. 85(1), pages 1-48, May.
    10. Chao Wang & Qian Chen & Richard Gerlach, 2017. "Bayesian Realized-GARCH Models for Financial Tail Risk Forecasting Incorporating Two-sided Weibull Distribution," Papers 1707.03715, arXiv.org.
    11. Vica Tendenan & Richard Gerlach & Chao Wang, 2020. "Tail risk forecasting using Bayesian realized EGARCH models," Papers 2008.05147, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
    12. Chao Wang & Richard Gerlach & Qian Chen, 2018. "A Semi-parametric Realized Joint Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall Regression Framework," Papers 1807.02422, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2021.
    13. Chao Wang & Richard Gerlach, 2019. "Semi-parametric Realized Nonlinear Conditional Autoregressive Expectile and Expected Shortfall," Papers 1906.09961, arXiv.org.
    14. Chen Liu & Chao Wang & Minh-Ngoc Tran & Robert Kohn, 2023. "Deep Learning Enhanced Realized GARCH," Papers 2302.08002, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
    15. Wang, Lu & Zhao, Chenchen & Liang, Chao & Jiu, Song, 2022. "Predicting the volatility of China's new energy stock market: Deep insight from the realized EGARCH-MIDAS model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    16. Richard Gerlach & Chao Wang, 2016. "Bayesian Semi-parametric Realized-CARE Models for Tail Risk Forecasting Incorporating Realized Measures," Papers 1612.08488, arXiv.org.
    17. Richard Gerlach & Declan Walpole & Chao Wang, 2017. "Semi-parametric Bayesian tail risk forecasting incorporating realized measures of volatility," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(2), pages 199-215, February.
    18. Richard Gerlach & Chao Wang, 2018. "Semi-parametric Dynamic Asymmetric Laplace Models for Tail Risk Forecasting, Incorporating Realized Measures," Papers 1805.08653, arXiv.org.

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