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The alleged countercyclical nature of Argentina's exports of manufactures

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  • Elio Londero

Abstract

It has been suggested that, during the 1970s and 1980s, excess capacity played an important role in the performance of Latin American exports of manufactures. This paper shows that countercyclical factors should be expected for most exports, and submits the hypothesis that these effects are more important for a limited subset of products with special characteristics. Econometric testing of Argentine export functions could not reject this hypothesis. The paper ends by discussing the implications for export modelling and policy analysis.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development.

Volume (Year): 10 (2001)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages: 151-173

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Handle: RePEc:taf:jitecd:v:10:y:2001:i:2:p:151-173

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Related research

Keywords: Exports; Countercyclical Behaviour; Manufactures; Price Elasticity; Argentina; Latin America;

References

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  1. Alexandre Rands Barros & Analice Amazonas, 1996. "Manufactured exports from Brazil: determinants and consequences," Revista Brasileira de Economia, FGV/EPGE Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finan├žas, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil), vol. 50(1), pages 73-100, January.
  2. Peter Kennedy, 2003. "A Guide to Econometrics, 5th Edition," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 5, volume 1, number 026261183x, December.
  3. Sofronis Clerides & Saul Lach & James Tybout, 1996. "Is "learning-by-exporting" important? Micro-dynamic evidence from Colombia, Mexico and Morocco," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 96-30, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  4. Goldstein, Morris & Khan, Mohsin S., 1985. "Income and price effects in foreign trade," Handbook of International Economics, in: R. W. Jones & P. B. Kenen (ed.), Handbook of International Economics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 20, pages 1041-1105 Elsevier.
  5. Elio Londero, 2005. "Shadow Pricing Rules for Partially Traded Goods," Public Economics 0508008, EconWPA.
  6. Teitel, Simon & Thoumi, Francisco E, 1986. "From Import Substitution to Exports: The Manufacturing Exports Experience of Argentina and Brazil," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 34(3), pages 455-90, April.
  7. Eliana A. Cardoso & Rudiger Dornbusch, 1980. "Three Papers on Brazilian Trade and Payments," NBER Working Papers 0541, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  8. Andrew B. Bernard & J. Bradford Jensen, 2000. "Exporting and Productivity," Working Papers 00-07, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
  9. Teitel, Simon & Colman Sercovich, Francisco, 1984. "Latin America," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 12(5-6), pages 645-660.
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