When does rigorous impact evaluation make a difference? The case of the Millennium Villages
Abstract
When is the rigorous impact evaluation of development projects a luxury, and when a necessity? The authors study one high-profile case: the Millennium Villages Project (MVP), an experimental and intensive package intervention to spark sustained local economic development in rural Africa. They illustrate the benefits of rigorous impact evaluation in this setting by showing that estimates of the project's effects depend heavily on the evaluation method. Comparing trends at the MVP intervention sites in Kenya, Ghana, and Nigeria with trends in the surrounding areas yields much more modest estimates of the project's effects than the before-versus-after comparisons published thus far by the MVP. Neither approach constitutes a rigorous impact evaluation of the MVP, which is impossible to perform due to weaknesses in the evaluation design of the project's initial phase. These weaknesses include the subjective choice of intervention sites, the subjective choice of comparison sites, the lack of baseline data on comparison sites, the small sample size, and the short time horizon. The authors describe one of many ways that the next wave of the intervention could be designed to allow proper evaluation of the MVP's impact at little additional cost.Download Info
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Bibliographic Info
Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Journal of Development Effectiveness.
Volume (Year): 3 (2011)
Issue (Month): 3 (September)
Pages: 305-339
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Related research
Keywords:Other versions of this item:
- Clemens, Michael A. & Demombynes, Gabriel, 2010. "When does rigorous impact evaluation make a difference ? the case of the millennium villages," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5477, The World Bank.
References
References listed on IDEASPlease report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Bruhn, Miriam & McKenzie, David, 2008.
"In pursuit of balance : randomization in practice in development field experiments,"
Policy Research Working Paper Series
4752, The World Bank.
- Miriam Bruhn & David McKenzie, 2009. "In Pursuit of Balance: Randomization in Practice in Development Field Experiments," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, vol. 1(4), pages 200-232, October.
- Kibaara, Betty & Ariga, Joshua & Olwande, John & Jayne, Thomas S., 2008. "Trends in Kenyan Agricultural Productivity: 1997-2007," Food Security Collaborative Working Papers 56117, Michigan State University, Department of Agricultural, Food, and Resource Economics.
- Michael Woolcock, 2009.
"Towards a Plurality of Methods in Project Evaluation: A Contextualised Approach to Understanding Impact Trajectories and Efficacy,"
Brooks World Poverty Institute Working Paper Series
7309, BWPI, The University of Manchester.
- Michael Woolcock, 2009. "Toward a plurality of methods in project evaluation: a contextualised approach to understanding impact trajectories and efficacy," The Journal of Development Effectiveness, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 1(1), pages 1-14.
Citations
Blog mentions
As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:- Chapter II : Is Jeffrey Sachs in a highway to hell?
by Dany Jaimovich - Bakary Baludin in Development Therapy on 2012-05-11 08:40:00
Cited by:
- Maria Carmela Lo Bue & Stephan Klasen, 2012. "Identifying synergies and complementarities between MDGs: Results from cluster analysis," Courant Research Centre: Poverty, Equity and Growth - Discussion Papers 126, Courant Research Centre PEG.
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