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Pricing war within a real option framework * The opinions expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not reflect those of the French Ministry of Defence

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Author Info
Vincent Medina
Cyr-Denis Nidier
Abstract

The aim of this paper is to provide insights on war spending using simple tools of financial calculus rather than developing a general theory. Combining Grossman and Han's theory of war finance with the empirical literature that displays a straightforward relationship between the real value of money and wartime military events, we advocate the use of the real option approach of war spending. Some calculations and an empirical example illustrate this approach.

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Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Defence and Peace Economics.

Volume (Year): 14 (2003)
Issue (Month): 6 (December)
Pages: 425-435
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Handle: RePEc:taf:defpea:v:14:y:2003:i:6:p:425-435

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Keywords: War Options Financial Calculus

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  1. Richard C.K. Burdekin & Marc D. Weidenmier, . "The Option Value of Confederate Currency and Inflation Control, 1861-1865," Claremont Colleges Working Papers 2000-29, Claremont Colleges. [Downloadable!]
  2. Frey, Bruno S. & Kucher, Marcel, 1999. "Wars and Markets: How Bond Values Reflect World War II," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo GmbH. [Downloadable!]
  3. Calomiris, Charles W, 1988. "Price and Exchange Rate Determination during the Greenback Suspension," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 40(4), pages 719-50, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  4. Rockoff, Hugh, 1998. "The Peace Dividend in Historical Perspective," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 88(2), pages 46-50, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Jack Hirshleifer, 1995. "Theorizing About Conflict," UCLA Economics Working Papers 727, UCLA Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  6. George J. Hall, 2001. "Exchange Rates and Casualties During the First World War," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1321, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  7. Thomas J. Sargent & Neil Wallace, 1981. "Some unpleasant monetarist arithmetic," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, issue Fall. [Downloadable!]
  8. Willard, Kristen L & Guinnane, Timothy W & Rosen, Harvey S, 1996. "Turning Points in the Civil War: Views from the Greenback Market," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 86(4), pages 1001-18, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  9. Grossman, Herschel I & Han, Taejoon, 1996. "War Debt, Moral Hazard, and the Financing of the Confederacy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 28(2), pages 200-215, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. William O. Brown, Jr. & Richard C.K. Burdekin, . "Turning Points in the U.S. Civil War: A British Perspective," Claremont Colleges Working Papers 1999-29, Claremont Colleges. [Downloadable!]
  11. Herschel I. Grossman & Taejoon Han, 1993. "A Theory of War Finance," NBER Working Papers 3799, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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