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A sensitivity analysis of threshold determination for asymmetric error correction models

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Author Info
Steven Cook
Abstract

The properties of the Granger-Lee ( Journal of Applied Econometrics , 4 , S145-59, 1989) asymmetric error correction model under consistent-threshold estimation are considered, with the relationship between the threshold range and rejection of the symmetry hypothesis examined. The results of Monte Carlo experimentation show rejection of symmetry to depend positively upon the size of the threshold range employed. However, even if consistent-threshold estimation is employed with a relatively small threshold range, the resulting test exhibits a substantial increase in power relative to the use of the Granger-Lee test is its original form using an imposed deterministic threshold. This increase in power and its dependence upon the size of the threshold range are further illustrated by application to the data of the seminal study of Granger and Lee.

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Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Applied Economics Letters.

Volume (Year): 10 (2003)
Issue (Month): 10 (August)
Pages: 611-616
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Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:611-616

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Cook, Steven & Holly, Sean, 2002. "Threshold Specification for Asymmetric Error Correction Models," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 9(11), pages 711-13, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Granger, C W J & Lee, T H, 1989. "Investigation of Production, Sales and Inventory Relationships Using Multicointegration and Non-symmetric Error Correction Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 4(S), pages S145-59, Supplemen. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Cook, Steven & Holly, Sean & Turner, Paul, 1999. "The power of tests for non-linearity: the case of Granger-Lee asymmetry," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(2), pages 155-159, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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