IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v26y2012i7p1929-1951.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Integrated Modeling of Global Change Impacts on Agriculture and Groundwater Resources

Author

Listed:
  • Roland Barthel
  • Tim Reichenau
  • Tatjana Krimly
  • Stephan Dabbert
  • Karl Schneider
  • Wolfram Mauser

Abstract

The GLOWA-Danube research cooperation has developed the integrated simulation system DANUBIA to simulate water-related influences of global change in different spatial and temporal contexts. DANUBIA is a modular system comprised of 17 dynamically-coupled, process-based model components and a framework which controls the interaction of these components with respect to space and time. This article describes approaches and capabilities of DANUBIA with regard to the simulation of global change effects on agriculture and groundwater. To the agriculture-groundwater-relation, the direct effects that climate change has on the water balance are just as important as decisions made by land managers about land use and farming intensity. This article provides firstly a brief review of the research efforts which have been undertaken in the field of integrated modeling of agriculture and groundwater under conditions of global change. Then, the DANUBIA simulation framework and the associated DeepActor-framework for simulation of decision-making by agricultural actors are presented together with the model components which are most relevant to the interactions between agriculture and groundwater. The approach for developing combination climate and socio-economic scenarios is explained. Exemplary scenario results are shown for the Upper Danube Catchment in Southern Germany. Finally issues related to integrated simulation of global change effects on agriculture and groundwater are discussed. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2012

Suggested Citation

  • Roland Barthel & Tim Reichenau & Tatjana Krimly & Stephan Dabbert & Karl Schneider & Wolfram Mauser, 2012. "Integrated Modeling of Global Change Impacts on Agriculture and Groundwater Resources," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(7), pages 1929-1951, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:26:y:2012:i:7:p:1929-1951
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-012-0001-9
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11269-012-0001-9
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-012-0001-9?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Martin, Philip L., 2007. "Immigration and Agriculture (PowerPoint)," Agricultural Outlook Forum 2007 8037, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum.
    2. Kym Anderson & Will Martin, 2009. "Distortions to Agricultural Incentives in Asia," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 2611, December.
    3. Ficklin, Darren L. & Luedeling, Eike & Zhang, Minghua, 2010. "Sensitivity of groundwater recharge under irrigated agriculture to changes in climate, CO2 concentrations and canopy structure," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 97(7), pages 1039-1050, July.
    4. Molden, David, 2007. "Water for food, water for life: a comprehensive assessment of water management in agriculture: summary. In Russian," IWMI Books, Reports H041260, International Water Management Institute.
    5. Apfelbeck, Josef & Huigen, Marco & Krimly, Tatjana, 2007. "The importance of spatial, temporal and social scales in Integrated modeling; simulating the effects of climatic change on district- and farm-level decision making in the Danube catchment area," 81st Annual Conference, April 2-4, 2007, Reading University, UK 7984, Agricultural Economics Society.
    6. Huang, Jikun & Rozelle, Scott & Martin, William J. & Liu, Yu, 2007. "Distortions to Agricultural Incentives in China," Agricultural Distortions Working Paper Series 48478, World Bank.
    7. Lenz-Wiedemann, V.I.S. & Klar, C.W. & Schneider, K., 2010. "Development and test of a crop growth model for application within a Global Change decision support system," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 221(2), pages 314-329.
    8. Roland Barthel & Stephan Janisch & Darla Nickel & Aleksandar Trifkovic & Thomas Hörhan, 2010. "Using the Multiactor-Approach in G lowa-Danube to Simulate Decisions for the Water Supply Sector Under Conditions of Global Climate Change," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(2), pages 239-275, January.
    9. Gema Carmona & Consuelo Varela-Ortega & John Bromley, 2011. "The Use of Participatory Object-Oriented Bayesian Networks and Agro-Economic Models for Groundwater Management in Spain," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(5), pages 1509-1524, March.
    10. Klar, C.W. & Fiener, P. & Neuhaus, P. & Lenz-Wiedemann, V.I.S. & Schneider, K., 2008. "Modelling of soil nitrogen dynamics within the decision support system DANUBIA," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 217(1), pages 181-196.
    11. Reilly, J. & Paltsev, S. & Felzer, B. & Wang, X. & Kicklighter, D. & Melillo, J. & Prinn, R. & Sarofim, M. & Sokolov, A. & Wang, C., 2007. "Global economic effects of changes in crops, pasture, and forests due to changing climate, carbon dioxide, and ozone," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(11), pages 5370-5383, November.
    12. Jeßberger Christoph & Sindram Maximilian & Zimmer Markus, 2011. "Global Warming Induced Water-Cycle Changes and Industrial Production – A Scenario Analysis for the Upper Danube River Basin," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 231(3), pages 415-439, June.
    13. Molden, David, 2007. "Water for food, water for life: a comprehensive assessment of water management in agriculture," IWMI Books, Reports H040193, International Water Management Institute.
    14. Bin He & Yi Wang & Keiji Takase & Goro Mouri & Bam Razafindrabe, 2009. "Estimating Land Use Impacts on Regional Scale Urban Water Balance and Groundwater Recharge," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(9), pages 1863-1873, July.
    15. M. Morgan & Carnegie Mellon, 2011. "Certainty, uncertainty, and climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 108(4), pages 707-721, October.
    16. Henseler, Martin & Wirsig, Alexander & Herrmann, Sylvia & Krimly, Tatjana & Dabbert, Stephan, 2009. "Modeling the impact of global change on regional agricultural land use through an activity-based non-linear programming approach," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 100(1-3), pages 31-42, April.
    17. Carlo Giupponi & Anthony J. Jakeman & Derek Karssenberg & Matt P. Hare (ed.), 2006. "Sustainable Management of Water Resources," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 4117.
    18. Lee Godden & Raymond Ison & Philip Wallis, 2011. "Water Governance in a Climate Change World: Appraising Systemic and Adaptive Effectiveness," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(15), pages 3971-3976, December.
    19. Molden, David, 2007. "Water for food, water for life: a comprehensive assessment of water management in agriculture: summary," IWMI Books, Reports H039769, International Water Management Institute.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. A. Alamanos & D. Latinopoulos & A. Loukas & N. Mylopoulos, 2020. "Comparing Two Hydro-Economic Approaches for Multi-Objective Agricultural Water Resources Planning," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(14), pages 4511-4526, November.
    2. Jiao Liu & Tie Liu & Anming Bao & Philippe Maeyer & Xianwei Feng & Scott N. Miller & Xi Chen, 2016. "Assessment of Different Modelling Studies on the Spatial Hydrological Processes in an Arid Alpine Catchment," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(5), pages 1757-1770, March.
    3. Christian Albert & Johannes Hermes & Felix Neuendorf & Christina Von Haaren & Michael Rode, 2016. "Assessing and Governing Ecosystem Services Trade-Offs in Agrarian Landscapes: The Case of Biogas," Land, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-17, January.
    4. Schönhart, Martin & Trautvetter, Helene & Parajka, Juraj & Blaschke, Alfred Paul & Hepp, Gerold & Kirchner, Mathias & Mitter, Hermine & Schmid, Erwin & Strenn, Birgit & Zessner, Matthias, 2018. "Modelled impacts of policies and climate change on land use and water quality in Austria," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 500-514.
    5. Melkonyan, Ani, 2015. "Climate change impact on water resources and crop production in Armenia," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 86-101.
    6. Santiago Castaño & David Sanz & Juan Gómez-Alday, 2013. "Sensitivity of a Groundwater Flow Model to Both Climatic Variations and Management Scenarios in a Semi-arid Region of SE Spain," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(7), pages 2089-2101, May.
    7. Lisa Huber & Nico Bahro & Georg Leitinger & Ulrike Tappeiner & Ulrich Strasser, 2019. "Agent-Based Modelling of a Coupled Water Demand and Supply System at the Catchment Scale," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(21), pages 1-15, November.
    8. Jiao Liu & Tie Liu & Anming Bao & Philippe Maeyer & Xianwei Feng & Scott Miller & Xi Chen, 2016. "Assessment of Different Modelling Studies on the Spatial Hydrological Processes in an Arid Alpine Catchment," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(5), pages 1757-1770, March.
    9. K. Raneesh & Santosh Thampi, 2013. "A Simple Semi-distributed Hydrologic Model to Estimate Groundwater Recharge in a Humid Tropical Basin," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(5), pages 1517-1532, March.
    10. Roland Barthel & Stefan Banzhaf, 2016. "Groundwater and Surface Water Interaction at the Regional-scale – A Review with Focus on Regional Integrated Models," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(1), pages 1-32, January.
    11. Daniela D’Agostino & Alessandra Scardigno & Nicola Lamaddalena & Daniel Chami, 2014. "Sensitivity Analysis of Coupled Hydro-Economic Models: Quantifying Climate Change Uncertainty for Decision-Making," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(12), pages 4303-4318, September.
    12. Roland Barthel & Stefan Banzhaf, 2016. "Groundwater and Surface Water Interaction at the Regional-scale – A Review with Focus on Regional Integrated Models," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(1), pages 1-32, January.
    13. Eigner, Amanda E. & Nuppenau, Ernst-August, 2019. "Applied spatial approach of modelling field size changes based on a consideration of farm and landscape interrelations," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
    14. A. Pryet & B. Labarthe & F. Saleh & M. Akopian & N. Flipo, 2015. "Reporting of Stream-Aquifer Flow Distribution at the Regional Scale with a Distributed Process-Based Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(1), pages 139-159, January.
    15. Reidsma, Pytrik & Bakker, Martha M. & Kanellopoulos, Argyris & Alam, Shah J. & Paas, Wim & Kros, Johannes & de Vries, Wim, 2015. "Sustainable agricultural development in a rural area in the Netherlands? Assessing impacts of climate and socio-economic change at farm and landscape level," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 160-173.
    16. Kirchner, Mathias & Schmidt, Johannes & Kindermann, Georg & Kulmer, Veronika & Mitter, Hermine & Prettenthaler, Franz & Rüdisser, Johannes & Schauppenlehner, Thomas & Schönhart, Martin & Strauss, Fran, 2015. "Ecosystem services and economic development in Austrian agricultural landscapes — The impact of policy and climate change scenarios on trade-offs and synergies," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 161-174.
    17. Andreas Wunsch & Tanja Liesch & Stefan Broda, 2022. "Deep learning shows declining groundwater levels in Germany until 2100 due to climate change," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-13, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Huang, Hsin & von Lampe, Martin & van Tongeren, Frank, 2011. "Climate change and trade in agriculture," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(Supplemen), pages 9-13, January.
    2. Liu, Jing & Hertel, Thomas W. & Taheripour, Farzad & Zhu, Tingju & Ringler, Claudia, 2013. "Water Scarcity and International Agricultural Trade," Conference papers 332335, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    3. Jeßberger Christoph & Sindram Maximilian & Zimmer Markus, 2011. "Global Warming Induced Water-Cycle Changes and Industrial Production – A Scenario Analysis for the Upper Danube River Basin," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 231(3), pages 415-439, June.
    4. Christopher O. AKINBILE & Andrew E. ERAZUA & Toju E. BABALOLA & Fidelis O. AJIBADE, 2016. "Environmental implications of animal wastes pollution on agricultural soil and water quality," Soil and Water Research, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 11(3), pages 172-180.
    5. Mohammad Alauddin & Upali A. Amarasinghe & Bharat R. Sharma, 2014. "Four decades of rice water productivity in Bangladesh: A spatio-temporal analysis of district level panel data," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 51-64.
    6. Scheierling, Susanne M. & Treguer, David O. & Booker, James F. & Decker, Elisabeth, 2014. "How to assess agricultural water productivity ? looking for water in the agricultural productivity and efficiency literature," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6982, The World Bank.
    7. Awulachew, Seleshi Bekele, 2011. "Water-centered growth challenges, innovations and interventions in Ethiopia," Conference Papers h044260, International Water Management Institute.
    8. Cunha, Henrique & Loureiro, Dália & Sousa, Gonçalo & Covas, Dídia & Alegre, Helena, 2019. "A comprehensive water balance methodology for collective irrigation systems," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 223(C), pages 1-1.
    9. Molle, Francois & Berkoff, Jeremy, 2007. "Water pricing in irrigation: the lifetime of an idea," Book Chapters,, International Water Management Institute.
    10. Bossio, Deborah & Geheb, Kim & Critchley, William, 2010. "Managing water by managing land: Addressing land degradation to improve water productivity and rural livelihoods," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 97(4), pages 536-542, April.
    11. Batidzirai, B. & Smeets, E.M.W. & Faaij, A.P.C., 2012. "Harmonising bioenergy resource potentials—Methodological lessons from review of state of the art bioenergy potential assessments," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(9), pages 6598-6630.
    12. Tiziano Gomiero, 2016. "Soil Degradation, Land Scarcity and Food Security: Reviewing a Complex Challenge," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-41, March.
    13. Katerji, Nader & Campi, Pasquale & Mastrorilli, Marcello, 2013. "Productivity, evapotranspiration, and water use efficiency of corn and tomato crops simulated by AquaCrop under contrasting water stress conditions in the Mediterranean region," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 14-26.
    14. Feng Huang & Baoguo Li, 2020. "What is the Redline Water Withdrawal for Crop Production in China?—Projection to 2030 Derived from the Past Twenty-Year Trajectory," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-14, May.
    15. Gong, Daozhi & Mei, Xurong & Hao, Weiping & Wang, Hanbo & Caylor, Kelly K., 2017. "Comparison of ET partitioning and crop coefficients between partial plastic mulched and non-mulched maize fields," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 23-34.
    16. Holland, Jonathan E. & Luck, Gary W. & Max Finlayson, C., 2015. "Threats to food production and water quality in the Murray–Darling Basin of Australia," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 12(C), pages 55-70.
    17. Zwart, Sander J. & Bastiaanssen, Wim G.M. & de Fraiture, Charlotte & Molden, David J., 2010. "WATPRO: A remote sensing based model for mapping water productivity of wheat," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 97(10), pages 1628-1636, October.
    18. repec:kqi:journl:2017-2-1-2 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Bossio, Deborah & Noble, Andrew D. & Aloysius, Noel & Pretty, J. & Penning de Vries, F., 2008. "Ecosystem benefits of \u2018bright\u2019 spots," IWMI Books, Reports H041603, International Water Management Institute.
    20. Andrew J. Wiltshire & Gillian Kay & Jemma L. Gornall & Richard A. Betts, 2013. "The Impact of Climate, CO 2 and Population on Regional Food and Water Resources in the 2050s," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 5(5), pages 1-23, May.
    21. Rosa Francaviglia & Claudia Di Bene, 2019. "Deficit Drip Irrigation in Processing Tomato Production in the Mediterranean Basin. A Data Analysis for Italy," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-14, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:26:y:2012:i:7:p:1929-1951. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.