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Self-selection, earnings, and out-migration: A longitudinal study of immigrants to Germany

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Author Info
Amelie Constant ()
Douglas S. Massey ()

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Abstract

In this paper we examine the process of out-migration and investigate whether cross-sectional earnings assimilation results suffer from selection bias due to out-migration. Our 14 year longitudinal study reveals that emigrants are negatively selected with respect to occupational prestige and to stable full time employment. Our results show no selectivity with respect to human capital or gender. The likelihood of return migration is strongly determined by the range and nature of social attachments to Germany and origin countries. It is also the highest during the first five years since arrival, and grows higher toward retirement. Selective emigration, however, does not appear to distort cross-sectional estimates of earnings assimilation in a relevant way. Copyright Springer-Verlag 2003

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s00148-003-0168-8
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Springer in its journal Population Economics.

Volume (Year): 16 (2003)
Issue (Month): 4 (November)
Pages: 631-653
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Handle: RePEc:spr:jopoec:v:16:y:2003:i:4:p:631-653

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Keywords: J61 J2 C4 Return migration immigrant assimilation event history

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Edin, Per-Anders & LaLonde, Robert J. & Åslund, Olof, 2000. "Emigration of Immigrants and Measures of Immigrant Assimilation: Evidence from Sweden," Working Paper Series 2000:13, Uppsala University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  2. George J. Borjas & Bernt Bratsberg, 1994. "Who Leaves? The Outmigration of the Foreign-Born," NBER Working Papers 4913, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Gang, Ira N. & Bauer, Thomas K., 1998. "Temporary Migrants From Egypt: How Long Do They Stay Abroad?," IZA Discussion Papers 03, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
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  4. Borjas, George J, 1985. "Assimilation, Changes in Cohort Quality, and the Earnings of Immigrants," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 3(4), pages 463-89, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Borjas, George J, 1989. "Immigrant and Emigrant Earnings: A Longitudinal Study," Economic Inquiry, Oxford University Press, vol. 27(1), pages 21-37, January.
  6. Merkle, Lucie & Zimmermann, Klaus F., 1992. "Savings, remittances, and return migration," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 77-81, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Paul W. Miller & Barry R. Chiswick, 1999. "Language skills and earnings among legalized aliens," Journal of Population Economics, Springer, vol. 12(1), pages 63-89. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Schmidt, Christoph M., 1997. "Immigrant performance in Germany: Labor earnings of ethnic German migrants and foreign guest-workers," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(supplemen), pages 379-397. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Barry Chiswick, 1999. "Are Immigrants Favorably Self-Selected?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 89(2), pages 181-185, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Constant, Amelie & Zimmermann, Klaus F., 2003. "The Dynamics of Repeat Migration: A Markov Chain Analysis," IZA Discussion Papers 885, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Fernandez, Cristina & Ortega, Carolina, 2006. "Labour market assimilation of immigrants in Spain: employment at the expense of bad job-matches?," IESE Research Papers D/644, IESE Business School. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Sebastian Gundel & Heiko Peters, 2008. "What Determines the Duration of Stay of Immigrants in Germany? : Evidence from a Longitudinal Duration Analysis," SOEPpapers 79, DIW Berlin, The German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP). [Downloadable!]
  4. Martin Kahanec & Klaus F. Zimmermann, 2008. "Migration, the Quality of the Labour Force and Economic Inequality," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 781, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  5. Juan J. Dolado & Pablo Vázquez & Varios Autores, 2008. "Ensayos sobre los efectos económicos de la inmigración en España," Economic Reports 01-08, FEDEA. [Downloadable!]
  6. Monika Sander, 2007. "Return Migration and the "Healthy Immigrant Effect"," SOEPpapers 60, DIW Berlin, The German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP). [Downloadable!]
  7. Thomas Liebig & Alfonso Sousa-Poza, 2003. "How does income inequality influence international migration?," ERSA conference papers ersa03p472, European Regional Science Association. [Downloadable!]
  8. Catalina Amuedo-Dorantes & Sara de la Rica, 2006. "Labor Market Assimilation of Recent Immigrants in Spain," IZA Discussion Papers 2104, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
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  9. Murat G. Kirdar, 2007. "Labor Market Outcomes, Capital Accumulation, and Return Migration: Evidence from Immigrants in Germany," ERC Working Papers 0703, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Jan 2007. [Downloadable!]
  10. Abdurrahman Aydemir & Chris Robinson, 2006. "Global Labour Markets, Return and Onward Migration," University of Western Ontario, CIBC Human Capital and Productivity Project Working Papers 20061, University of Western Ontario, CIBC Human Capital and Productivity Project. [Downloadable!]
  11. Jennifer Hunt, 2004. "Are Migrants More Skilled than Non-Migrants? : Repeat, Return and Same-Employer Migrants," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 422, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
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  12. Kirdar, Murat, 2007. "Labor market outcomes, capital accumulation, and return migration: Evidence from immigrants in Germany," MPRA Paper 2028, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  13. Govert E. Bijwaard, 2007. "Modeling Migration Dynamics of Immigrants: The Case of The Netherlands," IZA Discussion Papers 2891, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
  14. Kahanec, Martin & Zimmermann, Klaus F., 2008. "Migration, the Quality of the Labour Force and Economic Inequality," IZA Discussion Papers 3560, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
  15. Nekby, Lena, 2004. "The Emigration of Immigrants, Return vs. Onward Migration: Evidence from Sweden," Research Papers in Economics 2004:7, Stockholm University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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