Ronald Bewley () (The University of New South Wales, Sydney 2052, Australia) Denzil G. Fiebig () (The University of New South Wales, Sydney 2052, Australia)
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It is not uncommon to observe the published forecasts of economic commentators closely bunched together over long periods of time. In our case, the phenomenon is observed for eight national panels of economists who report monthly forecasts. A framework is developed that conveniently nests within it several simple, yet plausible forecasting rules, and allows us to explore the extent of the clustering phenomenon.
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Find related papers by JEL classification: C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Other Model Applications
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