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Capacity Choice in (Strategic) Real Options Models: A Survey

Author

Listed:
  • Nick Huberts
  • Kuno Huisman
  • Peter Kort
  • Maria Lavrutich

Abstract

The theory of real options determines the optimal time to invest in a project of given size. As a main result, it is found that in a more uncertain environment, it is optimal for a firm to delay its investment. In other words, uncertainty generates a “value of waiting.” Recently, contributions appeared that in addition determine the optimal size of the investment. This paper surveys this literature. As a general result, it is obtained that more uncertainty results in larger investments taking place at a later point in time. So, where from the traditional real options literature one can conclude that uncertainty is bad for growth, this is not so clear anymore when also the size of the investment needs to be determined. The survey consists of two parts. First, we present single firm models, and second, we give an overview of the oligopoly models that have appeared up until now. Copyright The Author(s) 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Nick Huberts & Kuno Huisman & Peter Kort & Maria Lavrutich, 2015. "Capacity Choice in (Strategic) Real Options Models: A Survey," Dynamic Games and Applications, Springer, vol. 5(4), pages 424-439, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:dyngam:v:5:y:2015:i:4:p:424-439
    DOI: 10.1007/s13235-015-0162-2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kuno J.M. Huisman & Peter M. Kort, 2015. "Strategic capacity investment under uncertainty," RAND Journal of Economics, RAND Corporation, vol. 46(2), pages 376-408, June.
    2. Manuel Rocha Armada & Lawrence Kryzanowski & Paulo Jorge Pereira, 2011. "Optimal Investment Decisions for Two Positioned Firms Competing in a Duopoly Market with Hidden Competitors," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 17(2), pages 305-330, March.
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    17. Della Seta, Marco & Gryglewicz, Sebastian & Kort, Peter M., 2012. "Optimal investment in learning-curve technologies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(10), pages 1462-1476.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Balliauw, Matteo, 2021. "From theoretical real options models to pragmatic decision making: Required steps, opportunities and threats," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    2. Paxson, Dean & Pereira, Paulo J. & Rodrigues, Artur, 2022. "Investment timing, capacity choice and optimal floors and ceilings," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    3. Liu, Yu-Hong & Jiang, I-Ming, 2019. "Optimal proportion decision-making for two stages investment," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 776-785.
    4. Kort, Peter & Lavrutich, Maria & Nunes, Cláudia & Oliveira, Carlos, 2023. "Preventive investment, malfunctions and liability," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 263(C).
    5. Colombo, Luca & Labrecciosa, Paola, 2021. "A stochastic differential game of duopolistic competition with sticky prices," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    6. Balliauw, Matteo, 2021. "Time to build: A real options analysis of port capacity expansion investments under uncertainty," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    7. Silaghi, Florina & Sarkar, Sudipto, 2021. "Agency problems in public-private partnerships investment projects," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 290(3), pages 1174-1191.
    8. Lukas, Elmar & Thiergart, Sascha, 2019. "The interaction of debt financing, cash grants and the optimal investment policy under uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 276(1), pages 284-299.
    9. Balter, Anne G. & Huisman, Kuno J.M. & Kort, Peter M., 2022. "Effects of creative destruction on the size and timing of an investment," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 252(C).
    10. Jeon, Haejun, 2021. "Investment timing and capacity decisions with time-to-build in a duopoly market," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    11. Huberts, Nick F.D. & Rossi Silveira, Rafael, 2023. "How economic depreciation shapes the relationship of uncertainty with investments’ size & timing," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    12. Koussis, Nicos & Silaghi, Florina, 2023. "Revenue-sharing and volume flexibility in the supply chain," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 261(C).
    13. Sarkar, Sudipto, 2021. "The uncertainty-investment relationship with endogenous capacity," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    14. Peter Kort & Maria Lavrutich & Cláudia Nunes & Carlos Oliveira, 2022. "Preventing Environmental Disasters in Investment under Uncertainty," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 83(1), pages 199-220, September.
    15. Balliauw, Matteo & Kort, Peter M. & Zhang, Anming, 2019. "Capacity investment decisions of two competing ports under uncertainty: A strategic real options approach," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 249-264.
    16. Azevedo, Alcino & Pereira, Paulo J. & Rodrigues, Artur, 2021. "Optimal timing and capacity choice with taxes and subsidies under uncertainty," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    17. Sarkar, Sudipto, 2018. "Optimal DOL (degree of operating leverage) with investment and production flexibility," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 172-181.
    18. Peter Ritchken & Qi Wu, 2021. "Capacity Investment, Production Flexibility, and Capital Structure," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 30(12), pages 4593-4613, December.
    19. Sarkar, Sudipto & Zhang, Chuanqian, 2020. "Investment and financing decisions with learning-curve technology," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    20. Dockner, Engelbert J. & Hartl, Richard F. & Kort, Peter M., 2019. "Dynamic capital structure choice and investment timing," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 70-80.

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