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Volume Flexibility and Capacity Investment : A Real Options Approach

Author

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  • Wen, X.

    (Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management)

  • Kort, P.M.

    (Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management)

  • Talman, A.J.J.

    (Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management)

Abstract

This paper considers the investment decision of a firm where it has to decide about the timing and capacity. We obtain that in a fast-growing market, right after investment the firm produces below capacity, where the utilization rate (the proportion of capacity that is used for production right after the investment) increases with market uncertainty for a very big market trend, and shows no monotonicity for a moderately large market trend. On the other hand, we get that, for a slowly growing or shrinking market, the firm produces up to capacity right after investment. In the intermediate case, the firm produces up to capacity right after investment when uncertainty is low and below capacity when uncertainty is high, whereas the utilization rate decreases with the market uncertainty.
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Suggested Citation

  • Wen, X. & Kort, P.M. & Talman, A.J.J., 2015. "Volume Flexibility and Capacity Investment : A Real Options Approach," Other publications TiSEM 1264ebd1-5c19-496f-a11c-6, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    • Handle: RePEc:tiu:tiutis:1264ebd1-5c19-496f-a11c-69f19b604050
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kuno J.M. Huisman & Peter M. Kort, 2015. "Strategic capacity investment under uncertainty," RAND Journal of Economics, RAND Corporation, vol. 46(2), pages 376-408, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Bigerna, Simona & Wen, Xingang & Hagspiel, Verena & Kort, Peter M., 2019. "Green electricity investments: Environmental target and the optimal subsidy," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 279(2), pages 635-644.
    2. Simona Bigerna & Xingang Wen & Verena Hagspiel & Peter M. Kort, 2018. "Green Electricity Investments: Environmental Target and the Optimal Subsidy," Quaderni del Dipartimento di Economia, Finanza e Statistica 29/2018, Università di Perugia, Dipartimento Economia.
    3. G. Guthrie, 2021. "Adapting to Rising Sea Levels: How Short-Term Responses Complement Long-Term Investment," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 78(4), pages 635-668, April.
    4. Wen, Xingang, 2017. "Strategic Capacity Investment under Uncertainty with Volume Flexibility," Discussion Paper 2017-019, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    5. Huberts, Nick F.D. & Rossi Silveira, Rafael, 2023. "How economic depreciation shapes the relationship of uncertainty with investments’ size & timing," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    6. Wen, Xingang, 2017. "Strategic Capacity Investment under Uncertainty with Volume Flexibility," Other publications TiSEM faac3b9c-776e-4b90-a431-2, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    7. Chevalier-Roignant, Benoît & Flath, Christoph M. & Kort, Peter M. & Trigeorgis, Lenos, 2021. "Capacity investment choices under cost heterogeneity and output flexibility in oligopoly," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 290(3), pages 1154-1173.
    8. Wen, Xingang, 2017. "Investment under uncertainty : Timing and capacity optimization," Other publications TiSEM 47363df4-fc3e-46b8-b7bd-a, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • D92 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Intertemporal Firm Choice, Investment, Capacity, and Financing

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