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Equilibrium Investment Strategies and Output Price Behavior: A Real-Options Approach

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  • Felipe L. Aguerrevere
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    Abstract

    The effects of competitive interactions on investment decisions and on the dynamics of the price of a nonstorable commodity are studied in a model of incremental investment with time to build and operating flexibility. I find that an increase in uncertainty may encourage firms to increase their capacity. Furthermore, I show that it may be optimal to invest in additional capacity during periods in which part of the operational capacity is not being utilized. The impact of competition on the properties of the endogenous output price is dramatic. For example, I find that price volatility may be increasing in the number of competitors in the industry. Copyright 2003, Oxford University Press.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Society for Financial Studies in its journal The Review of Financial Studies.

    Volume (Year): 16 (2003)
    Issue (Month): 4 ()
    Pages: 1239-1272

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    Handle: RePEc:oup:rfinst:v:16:y:2003:i:4:p:1239-1272

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    Cited by:
    1. Feil, Jan-Henning & Musshoff, Oliver, 2013. "Modelling investment and disinvestment decisions under competition, uncertainty and different market interventions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 443-452.
    2. Joachim Gahungu and Yves Smeers, 2012. "A Real Options Model for Electricity Capacity Expansion," RSCAS Working Papers 2012/08, European University Institute.
    3. Hunjra, Ahmed Imran & Batool, Iram & Niazi, Ghulam Shabbir Khan & Rehman, Ijaz ur, 2011. "Investment appraisal techniques and constraints on capital investment," MPRA Paper 40677, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Wirl, Franz, 2008. "Why do oil prices jump (or fall)?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1029-1043, March.
    5. Robert S. Pindyck, 2009. "Sunk Costs and Risk-Based Barriers to Entry," NBER Working Papers 14755, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Naito, Yuta & Takashima, Ryuta & Kimura, Hiroshi & Madarame, Haruki, 2010. "Evaluating replacement project of nuclear power plants under uncertainty," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 1321-1329, March.
    7. GAHUNGU, Joachim & SMEERS, Yves, 2011. "A real options model for electricity capacity expansion," CORE Discussion Papers 2011044, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    8. Sarkar, Sudipto & Zhang, Chuanqian, 2013. "Implementation lag and the investment decision," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 119(2), pages 136-140.
    9. Sarkar, Sudipto, 2014. "Product–market flexibility and capital structure," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(1), pages 111-122.
    10. Hunjra, Ahmed Imran & Niazi, Ghulam Shabbir Khan & Akbar, Syed Waqar & Rehman, Kashif-Ur-, 2011. "Application of finance techniques: an empirical analysis of pakistani corporate sector," MPRA Paper 40675, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Masao Nakagawa, 2007. "Synergies and Investment Decisions," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 7(5), pages 1-11.
    12. Huisman, K.J.M. & Kort, P.M., 2013. "Strategic Capacity Investment Under uncertainty," Discussion Paper 2013-003, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.

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